AllsvenskanMatchday 16

Goteborg 3-2 Kalmar: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg
Referee:
Erik Mattsson

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won63%

referee Erik Mattsson averages 2.9 cards a match, league average 3.6; our numbers: 3.1 cards against a league average of 3.6

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost42%

referee Erik Mattsson averages 2.9 cards a match, league average 3.6; our numbers: 3.1 cards against a league average of 3.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGoteborg151839%45%Draw27%26%Kalmar139734%29%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%52%O2.556%49%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Kalmar1:1GoteborgD
  2. Goteborg1:1KalmarD
  3. Kalmar0:1GoteborgW
  4. Goteborg2:0KalmarW
  5. Kalmar2:0GoteborgL
Goteborg's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.0over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 14
Cardsleague cards3.1league 3.6under 3.5: 63%Expected cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 6%.won · ended 3
RefereeE. Mattsson−1.7 cards vs average10 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.4total 2.9Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.7
Goteborg : Kalmar
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-07%2-19%2-0—1-28%0-0—0-17%Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-09%1-2—0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-07%1-011%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-0—2-09%1-21-28%1-2—0-00-0—0-07%0-10-17%0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%74%74%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat66%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals66%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat61%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes60%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals56%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals44%51%51%
Both teams to score: no40%48%48%
1 – Goteborg win39%49% · Elo 45%49%· Elo 45%
2 – Kalmar win34%25% · Elo 29%25%· Elo 29%
Over 3.5 goals34%27%27%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals20%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Goteborg attack vs Kalmar defenceattack1472defence1449+23 pts to the attack
Kalmar attack vs Goteborg defenceattack1426defence1505−79 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Goteborg concede 2.5 goals per game
  • Kalmar: newly promoted
  • Goteborg: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Kalmar: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Goteborg23105832:4135
14Kalmar23541421:3719
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Goteborg vs Kalmar?

Goteborg 3-2 Kalmar (half time 1-1).

Did the Goteborg vs Kalmar tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.