AllsvenskanMatchday 17

Kalmar 0-4 Hammarby: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Guldfageln Arena, Kalmar
Referee:
Granit Maqedonci

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won61%

under 3.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (52% of league matches); 3.0 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.6 in the visitors', league average 3.6

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloKalmar139720%22%Draw24%23%Hammarby164856%54%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%54%O2.557%53%|exp. goals 1.0 : 1.8not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Hammarby2:0KalmarL
  2. Kalmar1:4HammarbyL
  3. Hammarby3:1KalmarL
  4. Kalmar0:0HammarbyD
  5. Hammarby3:1KalmarL
Kalmar's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.1under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.2league 3.6under 3.5: 61%Expected cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.won · ended 1
RefereeG. Maqedonci−0.7 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.9total 3.0Attack/defence1.0 : 1.8total 2.8
Kalmar : Hammarby
Most likely scores
Market1-111%0-19%1-210%0-29%0-0—1-36%Attack/defence1-111%0-110%1-210%0-210%0-06%1-36%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%0-10-19%0-110%1-21-210%1-210%0-20-29%0-210%0-00-0—0-06%1-31-36%1-36%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat80%79%79%
Over 1.5 goals80%77%77%
12 – no draw76%76%76%
Under 3.5 goals66%69%69%
Over 2.5 goals57%53%53%
2 – Hammarby win56%55% · Elo 54%55%· Elo 54%
Both teams to score: yes56%54%54%
1X – home team avoid defeat44%45%45%
Both teams to score: no44%46%46%
Under 2.5 goals43%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals34%31%31%
X – draw24%24% · Elo 23%24%· Elo 23%
1 – Kalmar win20%21% · Elo 22%21%· Elo 22%
Under 1.5 goals20%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Kalmar attack vs Hammarby defenceattack1428defence1642−214 pts to the attack
Hammarby attack vs Kalmar defenceattack1648defence1442+206 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Kalmar: newly promoted
  • Kalmar: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Hammarby: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Hammarby23134649:2143
14Kalmar23541421:3719
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Kalmar vs Hammarby?

Kalmar 0-4 Hammarby (half time 0-1).

Did the Kalmar vs Hammarby tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.