AllsvenskanMatchday 23
Mjallby 1-1 Degerfors: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Strandvallen, Hallevik
- Referee:
- Adam Ladeback
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Fouls – Mjallby: Over 11.5Won65%
our numbers for Mjallby: 13.3 fouls against a league average of 10.9; Mjallby: 13.7 fouls a match, Degerfors's opponents committed 12.6 on average, league average 10.9
For the brave
Fouls – Mjallby: Over 13.5Won46%
our numbers for Mjallby: 13.3 fouls against a league average of 10.9; Mjallby: over 13.5 fouls in 6 of their last 10 league matches, Degerfors's opponents committed over 13.5 in 4 of 10 (26% of league matches)
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%46%O2.551%45%|exp. goals 1.7 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Degerfors1:4MjallbyW
- Degerfors0:1MjallbyW
- Mjallby4:1DegerforsW
- Degerfors1:2MjallbyW
- Mjallby2:0DegerforsW
Mjallby's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.2under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.1league 3.3under 3.5: 64%Expected yellow cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.won · ended 0
RefereeA. Ladeback−0.5 yellow cards vs average17 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)74%O2.51:11:0coverageleague 73% · H2H 4/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.0total 2.7Attack/defence1.7 : 0.8total 2.5
Mjallby : DegerforsMost likely scores
Market1-010%1-112%2-09%2-110%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-014%1-112%2-012%2-110%0-09%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-010%1-014%1-11-112%1-112%2-02-09%2-012%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-08%0-09%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%82% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%76% | 76% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%46% | 46% |
| 1 – Mjallby win | 52%57% · Elo 55% | 57%· Elo 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%45% | 45% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49%55% | 55% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 48%43% | 43% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%54% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%24% | 24% |
| X – draw | 26%25% · Elo 23% | 25%· Elo 23% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%29% | 29% |
| 2 – Degerfors win | 22%18% · Elo 22% | 18%· Elo 22% |
Attack vs defence
Mjallby attack vs Degerfors defenceattack1521defence1437+84 pts to the attack
Degerfors attack vs Mjallby defenceattack1372defence1568−196 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 9.0 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.567%65%
8.554%53%
9.542%41%
10.530%29%
Each team on its own
Mjallbywe expect 5.0, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 55%
Degerforswe expect 4.1, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 39%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 62%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 38%over
We expect 23.6 in this match, 21.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.568%61%
21.562%54%
22.555%47%
23.548%38%
Each team on its own
Mjallbywe expect 13.3, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 74%
Degerforswe expect 10.7, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 49%
Referee: 20.7 fouls per match on average (23 matches in our data)−0.2 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.573%66%
2.548%44%
3.526%25%
4.512%13%
Each team on its own
Mjallbywe expect 0.8, league average 1.1 · chance of over 1.5: 19%
Degerforswe expect 1.9, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 55%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Mjallby concede 2.1 goals per game
- Degerfors score only 0.7 goals per game
- Mjallby: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Mjallby: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Degerfors: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mjallby | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28:39 | 23 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 20:35 | 20 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Mjallby vs Degerfors?
Mjallby 1-1 Degerfors (half time 0-0).
Did the Mjallby vs Degerfors tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Fouls – Mjallby: Over 11.5. The tip won.