AllsvenskanMatchday 18

AIK 1-1 Mjallby: prediction, tips and result

·

1-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
Strawberry Arena, Solna
Referee:
Glenn Nyberg

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Lost60%

8.7 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.6 in the visitors', league average 10.2

For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Lost48%

under 9.5 corners in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (45% of league matches); 8.7 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.6 in the visitors', league average 10.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAIK151442%42%Draw27%26%Mjallby151732%32%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%51%O2.554%45%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Mjallby1:2AIKW
  2. Mjallby2:0AIKL
  3. AIK2:1MjallbyW
  4. AIK1:0MjallbyW
  5. Mjallby1:1AIKD
AIK's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.2under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards3.2league 3.4under 3.5: 60%Expected cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.lost · ended 4
RefereeG. Nyberg−0.6 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.3total 2.8Attack/defence1.2 : 1.2total 2.5
AIK : Mjallby
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-08%0-1—2-19%0-0—1-28%2-07%Attack/defence1-113%1-010%0-110%2-18%0-09%1-28%2-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-08%1-010%0-10-1—0-110%2-12-19%2-18%0-00-0—0-09%1-21-28%1-28%2-02-07%2-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%70%70%
12 – no draw74%72%72%
1X – home team avoid defeat69%64%64%
Under 3.5 goals68%77%77%
X2 – away team avoid defeat59%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes58%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals54%45%45%
Under 2.5 goals46%55%55%
1 – AIK win42%36% · Elo 42%36%· Elo 42%
Both teams to score: no42%50%50%
2 – Mjallby win32%36% · Elo 32%36%· Elo 32%
Over 3.5 goals32%23%23%
X – draw27%28% · Elo 26%28%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals21%30%30%
Attack vs defence
AIK attack vs Mjallby defenceattack1490defence1579−89 pts to the attack
Mjallby attack vs AIK defenceattack1525defence1509+16 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mjallby concede 2.3 goals per game
  • AIK: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Mjallby: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • AIK: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Mjallby: 5 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9AIK2396836:4033
12Mjallby23581028:3923
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of AIK vs Mjallby?

AIK 1-1 Mjallby (half time 1-1).

Did the AIK vs Mjallby tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip lost.