AllsvenskanMatchday 19

AIK 3-2 Hammarby: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Strawberry Arena, Solna
Referee:
Glenn Nyberg

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: HammarbyLost70%

Hammarby: 3 league wins in a row; won 6 of their last 10 league matches

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won64%

    over 2.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches)

  • Corners: Under 10.5Won57%

    under 10.5 corners in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (52% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAIK151413%30%Draw17%26%Hammarby164870%44%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%53%O2.564%49%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Hammarby1:2AIKW
  2. Hammarby2:1AIKL
  3. AIK0:0HammarbyD
  4. AIK1:0HammarbyW
  5. Hammarby2:1AIKL
AIK's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.2under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.5under 3.5: 59%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.lost · ended 5
RefereeG. Nyberg−0.7 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 2.4total 3.3Attack/defence1.1 : 1.5total 2.6
AIK : Hammarby
Most likely scores
Market1-19%0-211%0-18%1-210%0-39%0-0—1-0—Attack/defence1-112%0-29%0-111%1-29%0-3—0-08%1-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-112%0-20-211%0-29%0-10-18%0-111%1-21-210%1-29%0-30-39%0-3—0-00-0—0-08%1-01-0—1-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat87%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals84%74%74%
12 – no draw83%74%74%
Our tip: 2 – Hammarby win70%47% · Elo 44%47%· Elo 44%
Over 2.5 goals64%49%49%
Under 3.5 goals59%73%73%
Both teams to score: yes54%53%53%
Both teams to score: no46%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals41%27%27%
Under 2.5 goals36%51%51%
1X – home team avoid defeat30%53%53%
X – draw17%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals16%26%26%
1 – AIK win13%27% · Elo 30%27%· Elo 30%
Attack vs defence
AIK attack vs Hammarby defenceattack1485defence1650−165 pts to the attack
Hammarby attack vs AIK defenceattack1669defence1533+136 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • AIK: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • AIK: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Hammarby: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Hammarby23134649:2143
9AIK2396836:4033
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of AIK vs Hammarby?

AIK 3-2 Hammarby (half time 1-2).

Did the AIK vs Hammarby tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Hammarby. The tip lost.