AllsvenskanMatchday 21

AIK 1-4 Vasteras SK: prediction, tips and result

·

AIK
0-34-33-13-20-0
1-4Full time(half time 1-0)
Vasteras SK
0-13-10-00-31-0
Stadium:
Strawberry Arena, Solna
Referee:
Erik Mattsson

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won65%

referee Erik Mattsson averages 2.7 cards a match, league average 3.5; our numbers: 3.0 cards against a league average of 3.5

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 10.5Won60%

    under 10.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (52% of league matches); 9.1 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.7 in the visitors', league average 10.2

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won43%

referee Erik Mattsson averages 2.7 cards a match, league average 3.5; our numbers: 3.0 cards against a league average of 3.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAIK151452%52%Draw25%24%Vasteras SK149922%24%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%52%O2.555%49%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Vasteras SK1:1AIKD
  2. Vasteras SK1:2AIKW
  3. AIK1:0Vasteras SKW
  4. AIK1:2Vasteras SKL
  5. Vasteras SK1:1AIKD
AIK's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.2under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.0league 3.5under 3.5: 65%Expected cards: 3.0 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 4%.won · ended 1
RefereeE. Mattsson−1.7 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.1total 2.9Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.7
AIK : Vasteras SK
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-09%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-010%0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-09%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-010%0-00-07%0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat77%77%77%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals68%73%73%
Both teams to score: yes56%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals55%49%49%
1 – AIK win52%52% · Elo 52%52%· Elo 52%
X2 – away team avoid defeat47%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals45%51%51%
Both teams to score: no44%48%48%
Over 3.5 goals32%27%27%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 24%25%· Elo 24%
2 – Vasteras SK win22%23% · Elo 24%23%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals21%26%26%
Attack vs defence
AIK attack vs Vasteras SK defenceattack1493defence1427+66 pts to the attack
Vasteras SK attack vs AIK defenceattack1439defence1526−87 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • AIK: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Vasteras SK: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Vasteras SK: newly promoted
  • AIK: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Vasteras SK: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

AIK

Vasteras SK

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Vasteras SK23105834:3635
9AIK2396836:4033
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of AIK vs Vasteras SK?

AIK 1-4 Vasteras SK (half time 1-0).

Did the AIK vs Vasteras SK tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.

See also