AllsvenskanMatchday 20

Malmo FF 0-0 AIK: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Eleda Stadion, Malmo
Referee:
Oscar Johnson

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Lost56%

referee Oscar Johnson averages 4.1 cards a match, league average 3.5; our numbers: 4.0 cards against a league average of 3.5

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost60%

    over 2.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches)

  • Corners: Under 10.5Lost60%

    under 10.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches); 9.4 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.8 in the visitors', league average 10.2

For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Lost38%

referee Oscar Johnson averages 4.1 cards a match, league average 3.5; our numbers: 4.0 cards against a league average of 3.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMalmo FF156155%43%Draw23%26%AIK151422%31%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%53%O2.560%50%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. AIK0:1Malmo FFW
  2. Malmo FF0:0AIKD
  3. AIK0:0Malmo FFD
  4. AIK0:0Malmo FFD
  5. Malmo FF5:0AIKW
Malmo FF's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses1.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.2under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.0league 3.5over 3.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.lost · ended 3
RefereeO. Johnson+1.4 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.2total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.7
Malmo FF : AIK
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-08%2-110%2-08%0-0—0-1—3-16%Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-17%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-08%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-08%2-09%0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-17%3-13-16%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat78%75%75%
12 – no draw77%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals62%71%71%
Over 2.5 goals60%50%50%
Both teams to score: yes60%53%53%
1 – Malmo FF win55%50% · Elo 43%50%· Elo 43%
X2 – away team avoid defeat45%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals40%50%50%
Both teams to score: no40%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals38%29%29%
X – draw23%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
2 – AIK win22%25% · Elo 31%25%· Elo 31%
Under 1.5 goals18%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Malmo FF attack vs AIK defenceattack1572defence1521+51 pts to the attack
AIK attack vs Malmo FF defenceattack1497defence1554−57 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • AIK: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • AIK: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Malmo FF: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • AIK: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Malmo FF23113938:3336
9AIK2396836:4033
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Malmo FF vs AIK?

Malmo FF 0-0 AIK (half time 0-0).

Did the Malmo FF vs AIK tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip lost.