AllsvenskanMatchday 17

GAIS 0-1 Malmo FF: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg
Referee:
Richard Sundell

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesLost61%

Malmo FF: scored in each of their last 16 league matches

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 3.5Lost60%

    referee Richard Sundell averages 2.9 cards a match, league average 3.6

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGAIS155342%40%Draw26%26%Malmo FF156131%34%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%54%O2.558%49%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Malmo FF3:1GAISL
  2. Malmo FF2:1GAISL
  3. GAIS0:0Malmo FFD
  4. GAIS0:0Malmo FFD
  5. Malmo FF1:0GAISL
GAIS's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.1under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.2league 3.6under 3.5: 60%Expected cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 6%.lost · ended 5
RefereeR. Sundell−0.8 cards vs average10 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.4total 3.0Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.6
GAIS : Malmo FF
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-07%2-19%0-1—1-28%0-0—2-07%Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%0-19%1-28%0-08%2-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-07%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%1-21-28%1-28%0-00-0—0-08%2-02-07%2-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%74%74%
12 – no draw73%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%68%68%
Under 3.5 goals65%73%73%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes61%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals58%49%49%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%59%59%
1 – GAIS win42%41% · Elo 40%41%· Elo 40%
Under 2.5 goals42%51%51%
Both teams to score: no39%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals35%27%27%
2 – Malmo FF win31%32% · Elo 34%32%· Elo 34%
X – draw26%27% · Elo 26%27%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals19%26%26%
Attack vs defence
GAIS attack vs Malmo FF defenceattack1500defence1545−45 pts to the attack
Malmo FF attack vs GAIS defenceattack1586defence1593−7 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Malmo FF: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • GAIS: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • GAIS: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Malmo FF: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Malmo FF23113938:3336
10GAIS2386928:2130
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of GAIS vs Malmo FF?

GAIS 0-1 Malmo FF (half time 0-0).

Did the GAIS vs Malmo FF tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip lost.