AllsvenskanMatchday 19

Sirius 0-1 Malmo FF: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Studenternas IP, Uppsala
Referee:
Granit Maqedonci

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost64%

over 2.5 goals in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 3.5Lost58%

    referee Granit Maqedonci averages 2.9 cards a match, league average 3.5

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSirius162256%48%Draw21%25%Malmo FF156122%27%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%65%O2.564%65%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.5not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Malmo FF2:3SiriusW
  2. Sirius5:1Malmo FFW
  3. Malmo FF1:1SiriusD
  4. Malmo FF0:1SiriusW
  5. Sirius3:4Malmo FFL
Sirius's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.3under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.5under 3.5: 58%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.lost · ended 4
RefereeG. Maqedonci−0.9 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.2total 3.3Attack/defence1.8 : 1.5total 3.3
Sirius : Malmo FF
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%2-08%1-2—1-07%3-17%2-2—Attack/defence1-110%2-19%2-06%1-27%1-06%3-1—2-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-08%2-06%1-21-2—1-27%1-01-07%1-06%3-13-17%3-1—2-22-2—2-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%85%85%
12 – no draw78%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat77%69%69%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals64%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes63%65%65%
Under 3.5 goals58%57%57%
1 – Sirius win56%46% · Elo 48%46%· Elo 48%
X2 – away team avoid defeat43%54%54%
Over 3.5 goals42%43%43%
Both teams to score: no37%35%35%
Under 2.5 goals36%35%35%
2 – Malmo FF win22%31% · Elo 27%31%· Elo 27%
X – draw21%23% · Elo 25%23%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals15%15%15%
Attack vs defence
Sirius attack vs Malmo FF defenceattack1653defence1543+110 pts to the attack
Malmo FF attack vs Sirius defenceattack1573defence1464+109 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sirius score 2.5 goals per game
  • Sirius: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Malmo FF: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Sirius: 10 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Malmo FF: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Sirius23173353:2854
6Malmo FF23113938:3336
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sirius vs Malmo FF?

Sirius 0-1 Malmo FF (half time 0-1).

Did the Sirius vs Malmo FF tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.