AllsvenskanMatchday 18

Sirius 0-3 Hacken: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Studenternas IP, Uppsala
Referee:
Oscar Johnson

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Lost58%

referee Oscar Johnson averages 4.2 cards a match, league average 3.6; over 3.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (48% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesLost65%

    Sirius: scored in each of their last 17 league matches

For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Lost40%

referee Oscar Johnson averages 4.2 cards a match, league average 3.6; our numbers: 4.1 cards against a league average of 3.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSirius162257%53%Draw21%24%Hacken156321%23%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%67%O2.567%69%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Hacken2:2SiriusD
  2. Hacken1:1SiriusD
  3. Sirius2:0HackenW
  4. Hacken2:0SiriusL
  5. Sirius0:3HackenL
Sirius's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.2under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.1league 3.6over 3.5: 58%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.lost · ended 3
RefereeO. Johnson+1.6 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 1.3total 3.5Attack/defence2.2 : 1.4total 3.6
Sirius : Hacken
Most likely scores
Market2-110%1-19%2-07%3-17%2-2—1-06%Attack/defence2-19%1-19%2-07%3-17%2-26%1-06%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-110%2-19%1-11-19%1-19%2-02-07%2-07%3-13-17%3-17%2-22-2—2-26%1-01-06%1-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals87%87%87%
1X – home team avoid defeat78%77%77%
12 – no draw78%79%79%
Over 2.5 goals67%69%69%
Both teams to score: yes65%67%67%
1 – Sirius win57%56% · Elo 53%56%· Elo 53%
Under 3.5 goals54%52%52%
Over 3.5 goals46%48%48%
X2 – away team avoid defeat42%44%44%
Both teams to score: no35%33%33%
Under 2.5 goals33%31%31%
X – draw21%21% · Elo 24%21%· Elo 24%
2 – Hacken win21%23% · Elo 23%23%· Elo 23%
Under 1.5 goals13%13%13%
Attack vs defence
Sirius attack vs Hacken defenceattack1672defence1467+205 pts to the attack
Hacken attack vs Sirius defenceattack1535defence1470+65 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sirius score 2.8 goals per game
  • Sirius: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Sirius: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Hacken: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Sirius23173353:2854
5Hacken23109442:3039
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sirius vs Hacken?

Sirius 0-3 Hacken (half time 0-1).

Did the Sirius vs Hacken tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip lost.