AllsvenskanMatchday 20

Vasteras SK 0-1 Sirius: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras
Referee:
Adi Aganovic

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost61%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches)

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost38%

over 3.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (31% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloVasteras SK149922%29%Draw24%26%Sirius162254%46%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%64%O2.561%63%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.8not both scored
H2Hlast 3 meetings
  1. Sirius4:1Vasteras SKL
  2. Vasteras SK1:2SiriusL
  3. Sirius0:0Vasteras SKD
Vasteras SK's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.7 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.2under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.5under 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.won · ended 2
RefereeA. Aganovic0.0 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.9total 3.1Attack/defence1.4 : 1.8total 3.2
Vasteras SK : Sirius
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-210%0-28%0-18%2-1—2-2—1-36%Attack/defence1-111%1-29%0-26%0-17%2-17%2-27%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-21-210%1-29%0-20-28%0-26%0-10-18%0-17%2-12-1—2-17%2-22-2—2-27%1-31-36%1-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%83%83%
X2 – away team avoid defeat78%70%70%
12 – no draw76%77%77%
Under 3.5 goals62%60%60%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals61%63%63%
Both teams to score: yes60%64%64%
2 – Sirius win54%46% · Elo 46%46%· Elo 46%
1X – home team avoid defeat46%54%54%
Both teams to score: no40%36%36%
Under 2.5 goals39%38%38%
Over 3.5 goals38%40%40%
X – draw24%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
1 – Vasteras SK win22%31% · Elo 29%31%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals17%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Vasteras SK attack vs Sirius defenceattack1447defence1465−18 pts to the attack
Sirius attack vs Vasteras SK defenceattack1641defence1420+221 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sirius score 2.3 goals per game
  • Sirius: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Vasteras SK: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Vasteras SK: newly promoted
  • Vasteras SK: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Sirius: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Sirius23173353:2854
7Vasteras SK23105834:3635
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Vasteras SK vs Sirius?

Vasteras SK 0-1 Sirius (half time 0-0).

Did the Vasteras SK vs Sirius tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.