Challenge LeagueMatchday 2

Aarau 1-1 Lausanne Ouchy: prediction, tips and result

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1-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
Stadion Brügglifeld, Aarau
Referee:
Logan Berchier

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost69%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAarau142447%50%Draw24%26%Lausanne Ouchy143629%25%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS69%63%O2.569%61%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Aarau3:0Lausanne OuchyW
  2. Lausanne Ouchy4:2AarauL
  3. Lausanne Ouchy1:2AarauW
  4. Aarau3:0Lausanne OuchyW
  5. Aarau2:2Lausanne OuchyD
Aarau's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 9.0over 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 9.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Cardsleague cards5.0league 4.6over 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 6
RefereeL. Berchier+0.9 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.5total 3.5Attack/defence1.8 : 1.4total 3.2
Aarau : Lausanne Ouchy
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-27%1-0—2-27%2-0—3-16%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-27%1-07%2-26%2-07%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-27%1-27%1-01-0—1-07%2-22-27%2-26%2-02-0—2-07%3-13-16%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals87%82%82%
12 – no draw76%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%70%70%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals69%61%61%
Both teams to score: yes69%63%63%
X2 – away team avoid defeat53%54%54%
Under 3.5 goals53%61%61%
1 – Aarau win47%46% · Elo 50%46%· Elo 50%
Over 3.5 goals47%39%39%
Under 2.5 goals31%39%39%
Both teams to score: no31%37%37%
2 – Lausanne Ouchy win29%30% · Elo 25%30%· Elo 25%
X – draw24%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals13%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Aarau attack vs Lausanne Ouchy defenceattack1589defence1571+18 pts to the attack
Lausanne Ouchy attack vs Aarau defenceattack1526defence1537−11 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Aarau score 2.3 goals per game
  • Aarau: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Lausanne Ouchy: 4 wins in a row
  • Aarau: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Lausanne Ouchy: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Lausanne Ouchy1073020:324
6Aarau1033415:1812
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Aarau vs Lausanne Ouchy?

Aarau 1-1 Lausanne Ouchy (half time 1-0).

Did the Aarau vs Lausanne Ouchy tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.