Challenge LeagueMatchday 1

Etoile Carouge 3-0 Aarau: prediction, tips and result

·

3-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge
Referee:
Hajrim Qovanaj

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won63%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloEtoile Carouge129029%26%Draw25%26%Aarau142446%48%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%63%O2.563%61%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.6not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Aarau1:3Etoile CarougeW
  2. Etoile Carouge0:3AarauL
  3. Aarau2:1Etoile CarougeL
  4. Etoile Carouge1:3AarauL
  5. Etoile Carouge1:3AarauL
Etoile Carouge's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.1under 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 2
Cardsleague cards4.8league 4.7over 4.5: 52%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 4
RefereeH. Qovanaj+0.4 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.8total 3.2Attack/defence1.5 : 1.6total 3.1
Etoile Carouge : Aarau
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-17%2-27%0-1—1-0—0-26%Attack/defence1-111%1-29%2-18%2-27%0-17%1-06%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-17%2-18%2-22-27%2-27%0-10-1—0-17%1-01-0—1-06%0-20-26%0-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%82%82%
12 – no draw75%76%76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat71%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes65%63%63%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals63%61%61%
Under 3.5 goals59%61%61%
1X – home team avoid defeat54%60%60%
2 – Aarau win46%40% · Elo 48%40%· Elo 48%
Over 3.5 goals41%39%39%
Under 2.5 goals37%39%39%
Both teams to score: no35%37%37%
1 – Etoile Carouge win29%35% · Elo 26%35%· Elo 26%
X – draw25%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals16%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Etoile Carouge attack vs Aarau defenceattack1472defence1546−74 pts to the attack
Aarau attack vs Etoile Carouge defenceattack1595defence1525+70 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Aarau score 2.4 goals per game
  • Aarau: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals

League form

Etoile Carouge

No matches played this season yet.

Aarau

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Aarau1033415:1812
9Etoile Carouge102358:149
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Etoile Carouge vs Aarau?

Etoile Carouge 3-0 Aarau (half time 0-0).

Did the Etoile Carouge vs Aarau tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.