Challenge LeagueMatchday 3

Winterthur 5-0 Wil: prediction, tips and result

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5-0Full time(half time 3-0)
Stadium:
Stadion Schützenwiese, Winterthur
Referee:
Sven Wolfensberger

The match in numbers

1X2EloWinterthur140849%50%Draw24%26%Wil128727%24%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%63%O2.562%61%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Wil1:1WinterthurD
  2. Winterthur4:0WilW
  3. Wil3:5WinterthurW
  4. Winterthur3:1WilW
  5. Winterthur1:0WilW
Winterthur's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeS. Wolfensberger−0.3 cards vs average24 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.3total 3.1Attack/defence1.8 : 1.4total 3.2
Winterthur : Wil
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-27%1-07%2-07%2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-27%1-07%2-07%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-27%1-27%1-01-07%1-07%2-02-07%2-07%2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%82%82%
12 – no draw76%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat73%70%70%
Both teams to score: yes63%63%63%
Over 2.5 goals62%61%61%
Under 3.5 goals61%61%61%
X2 – away team avoid defeat51%54%54%
1 – Winterthur win49%46% · Elo 50%46%· Elo 50%
Over 3.5 goals39%39%39%
Under 2.5 goals38%39%39%
Both teams to score: no37%38%38%
2 – Wil win27%31% · Elo 24%31%· Elo 24%
X – draw24%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals17%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Winterthur attack vs Wil defenceattack1483defence1468+15 pts to the attack
Wil attack vs Winterthur defenceattack1476defence1481−5 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Wil concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Wil matches average only 3.4 cards (league 4.6) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Winterthur: newly promoted
  • Winterthur: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Wil: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Winterthur1053219:1118
8Wil1024416:2210
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Winterthur vs Wil?

Winterthur 5-0 Wil (half time 3-0).