Super LeagueMatchday 3
Basel 4-2 Thun: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- St. Jakob-Park, Basel
- Referee:
- Luca Cibelli
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%67%O2.560%67%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Basel3:1ThunW
- Thun3:1BaselL
- Basel1:2ThunL
- Thun1:3BaselW
- Basel0:1ThunL
Basel's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.2under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards5.0league 4.7over 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 29%.lost · ended 4
RefereeL. Cibelli+0.6 cards vs average22 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.4total 3.1Attack/defence2.0 : 1.5total 3.4
Basel : ThunMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-27%1-07%2-07%2-2—3-1—Attack/defence1-110%2-19%1-27%1-0—2-06%2-27%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-110%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-27%1-27%1-01-07%1-0—2-02-07%2-06%2-22-2—2-27%3-13-1—3-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%86% | 86% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%78% | 78% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 70%72% | 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62%67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60%67% | 67% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 55%50% | 50% |
| 1 – Basel win | 45%50% · Elo 39% | 50%· Elo 39% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40%33% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%45% | 45% |
| Both teams to score: no | 38%34% | 34% |
| 2 – Thun win | 30%28% · Elo 33% | 28%· Elo 33% |
| X – draw | 25%22% · Elo 28% | 22%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%14% | 14% |
Attack vs defence
Basel attack vs Thun defenceattack1509defence1454+55 pts to the attack
Thun attack vs Basel defenceattack1531defence1521+10 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Thun concede 2.6 goals per game
- Basel concede 2.0 goals per game
- Basel: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Thun: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Basel | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:20 | 13 |
| 9 | Thun | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17:27 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Basel vs Thun?
Basel 4-2 Thun (half time 2-0).