Super LeagueMatchday 6

Lugano 1-0 Servette: prediction, tips and result

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1-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
AIL Arena, Lugano
Referee:
Huseyin Sanli

The match in numbers

1X2EloLugano174738%50%Draw26%26%Servette164336%24%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%59%O2.558%57%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Lugano1:1ServetteD
  2. Lugano4:2ServetteW
  3. Servette2:1LuganoL
  4. Servette4:1LuganoL
  5. Lugano0:2ServetteL
Lugano's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.2under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards4.7league 4.8over 4.5: 50%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.lost · ended 4
RefereeH. Sanli+0.1 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.5total 3.0Attack/defence1.7 : 1.3total 3.0
Lugano : Servette
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-07%1-28%2-0—0-16%Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%1-27%2-08%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-07%1-09%1-21-28%1-27%2-02-0—2-08%0-10-16%0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%79%79%
12 – no draw74%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%72%72%
Under 3.5 goals64%66%66%
X2 – away team avoid defeat62%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes61%59%59%
Over 2.5 goals58%57%57%
Under 2.5 goals42%43%43%
Both teams to score: no39%41%41%
1 – Lugano win38%48% · Elo 50%48%· Elo 50%
2 – Servette win36%28% · Elo 24%28%· Elo 24%
Over 3.5 goals36%34%34%
X – draw26%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals19%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Lugano attack vs Servette defenceattack1517defence1546−29 pts to the attack
Servette attack vs Lugano defenceattack1507defence1584−77 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Lugano score 2.3 goals per game
  • Lugano: 5 wins in a row
  • Lugano: 25 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Lugano: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Servette: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Lugano1091031:728
6Servette1041514:1313
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lugano vs Servette?

Lugano 1-0 Servette (half time 0-0).