Super LeagueMatchday 11
Sion vs Lausanne: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 13hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%56%O2.566%56%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Sion3:0LausanneW
- Lausanne2:2SionD
- Sion0:0LausanneD
- Lausanne2:0SionL
- Lausanne1:0SionL
Sion's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.3under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.5league 4.5under 4.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.5 : 0.9total 3.4Attack/defence1.9 : 1.1total 2.9
Sion : LausanneMost likely scores
Market1-18%2-010%2-19%1-08%3-09%3-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-09%2-110%1-010%3-06%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-111%2-02-010%2-09%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-08%1-010%3-03-09%3-06%3-13-1—3-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 88%79% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 83%77% | 77% |
| 1 – Sion win | 71%56% · Elo 62% | 56%· Elo 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66%56% | 56% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%66% | 66% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%34% | 34% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34%44% | 44% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 29%44% | 44% |
| X – draw | 17%23% · Elo 22% | 23%· Elo 22% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%21% | 21% |
| 2 – Lausanne win | 12%21% · Elo 16% | 21%· Elo 16% |
Attack vs defence
Sion attack vs Lausanne defenceattack1525defence1510+15 pts to the attack
Lausanne attack vs Sion defenceattack1384defence1558−174 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 9.2 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.556%64%
9.544%48%
10.532%39%
11.523%26%
Each team on its own
Sionwe expect 5.6, league average 5.2 · chance of over 5.5: 48%
Lausannewe expect 3.4, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 27%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 23.9 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.557%51%
23.551%45%
24.544%41%
25.538%37%
Each team on its own
Sionwe expect 10.1, league average 11.2 · chance of over 11.5: 32%
Lausannewe expect 14.0, league average 12.1 · chance of over 12.5: 62%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 2.7 in this match, 2.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.575%80%
2.551%54%
3.529%33%
4.514%15%
Each team on its own
Sionwe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
Lausannewe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 32%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sion score 2.3 goals per game
- Sion: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Lausanne score only 0.7 goals per game
- Lausanne: 4 defeats in a row
- Lausanne: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Sion played 0 days ago
- Lausanne: 0 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sion | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Lausanne | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:16 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sion vs Lausanne?
Sion are the favourites. Chances: Sion win 71%, draw 17%, Lausanne win 12%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Sion vs Lausanne?
Expected goals: 3.4 (Sion 2.5, Lausanne 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 66%. Most likely score: 2-0.
Will both teams score in Sion vs Lausanne?
The chance that both teams score is 55%.
When is Sion vs Lausanne?
The Super League match kicks off 25 October 2026, 15:30 (UK time).