Super LeagueMatchday 9

Lausanne 0-4 Lugano: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Stade de la Tuiliere, Lausanne
Referee:
Urs Schnyder

The match in numbers

1X2EloLausanne149326%21%Draw26%25%Lugano174748%55%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%56%O2.555%52%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.5not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Lugano2:1LausanneL
  2. Lausanne0:0LuganoD
  3. Lugano1:1LausanneD
  4. Lausanne1:1LuganoD
  5. Lausanne2:0LuganoW
Lausanne's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.3over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.6league 4.8under 4.5: 52%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.lost · ended 7
RefereeU. Schnyder−0.4 cards vs average33 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.7total 2.9Attack/defence1.3 : 1.5total 2.8
Lausanne : Lugano
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-210%0-19%0-28%2-17%1-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-19%0-27%2-18%1-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-210%1-29%0-10-19%0-19%0-20-28%0-27%2-12-17%2-18%1-01-0—1-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%76%76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat74%68%68%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals67%70%70%
Both teams to score: yes58%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals55%52%52%
1X – home team avoid defeat52%58%58%
2 – Lugano win48%42% · Elo 55%42%· Elo 55%
Under 2.5 goals45%48%48%
Both teams to score: no42%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals33%30%30%
1 – Lausanne win26%32% · Elo 21%32%· Elo 21%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 25%26%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals21%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Lausanne attack vs Lugano defenceattack1403defence1601−198 pts to the attack
Lugano attack vs Lausanne defenceattack1524defence1519+5 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Lugano score 2.9 goals per game
  • Lugano: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Lugano: unbeaten in 10 matches
  • Lugano: 26 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Lausanne: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Lausanne: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Lugano: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Lugano1091031:728
12Lausanne101367:166
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lausanne vs Lugano?

Lausanne 0-4 Lugano (half time 0-1).