Super LeagueMatchday 4
Lugano 4-1 St. Gallen: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- AIL Arena, Lugano
- Referee:
- Luca Cibelli
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%60%O2.567%58%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Lugano1:2St. GallenL
- St. Gallen1:1LuganoD
- Lugano1:3St. GallenL
- St. Gallen1:0LuganoL
- Lugano1:1St. GallenD
Lugano's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.3under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards5.0league 4.8over 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.won · ended 7
RefereeL. Cibelli+0.5 cards vs average24 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.5total 3.4Attack/defence1.7 : 1.3total 3.0
Lugano : St. GallenMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-0—2-06%1-27%2-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-08%2-07%1-27%2-2—0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-0—1-08%2-02-06%2-07%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-27%2-2—0-10-1—0-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69%72% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67%58% | 58% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67%60% | 60% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 55%52% | 52% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55%65% | 65% |
| 1 – Lugano win | 45%48% · Elo 50% | 48%· Elo 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45%35% | 35% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33%42% | 42% |
| Both teams to score: no | 33%40% | 40% |
| 2 – St. Gallen win | 31%28% · Elo 24% | 28%· Elo 24% |
| X – draw | 24%24% · Elo 26% | 24%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Lugano attack vs St. Gallen defenceattack1517defence1548−31 pts to the attack
St. Gallen attack vs Lugano defenceattack1526defence1598−72 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Lugano score 2.6 goals per game
- Lugano: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Lugano: unbeaten in 9 matches
- Lugano: 23 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Lugano: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- St. Gallen: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 31:7 | 28 |
| 4 | St. Gallen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:19 | 16 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lugano vs St. Gallen?
Lugano 4-1 St. Gallen (half time 4-0).