Super LeagueMatchday 8
Lugano 2-2 Young Boys: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- AIL Arena, Lugano
- Referee:
- Nico Gianforte
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won71%
over 2.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 7 (65% of league matches)
Other tips
- Corners: Under 10.5Won60%
under 10.5 corners in 3 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 7 (55% of league matches)
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won50%
over 3.5 goals in 3 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 7 (40% of league matches)
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS71%68%O2.571%67%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Lugano1:0Young BoysW
- Young Boys1:1LuganoD
- Lugano3:0Young BoysW
- Young Boys3:1LuganoL
- Lugano1:1Young BoysD
Lugano's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.3under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards5.0league 4.8over 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 31%.lost · ended 4
RefereeN. Gianforte+0.5 cards vs average23 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.6total 3.6Attack/defence1.9 : 1.6total 3.5
Lugano : Young BoysMost likely scores
Market1-19%2-19%1-27%2-27%3-16%1-0—2-0—Attack/defence1-110%2-19%1-27%2-27%3-1—1-06%2-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-27%2-27%3-13-16%3-1—1-01-0—1-06%2-02-0—2-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 89%86% | 86% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%77% | 77% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 71%67% | 67% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 71%68% | 68% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69%68% | 68% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 53%55% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50%45% | 45% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 50%55% | 55% |
| 1 – Lugano win | 46%45% · Elo 44% | 45%· Elo 44% |
| 2 – Young Boys win | 30%33% · Elo 28% | 33%· Elo 28% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 29%33% | 33% |
| Both teams to score: no | 29%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 23%23% · Elo 28% | 23%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11%14% | 14% |
Attack vs defence
Lugano attack vs Young Boys defenceattack1523defence1503+20 pts to the attack
Young Boys attack vs Lugano defenceattack1647defence1597+50 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Young Boys score 4.0 goals per game
- Young Boys concede 2.0 goals per game
- Lugano score 2.5 goals per game
- Young Boys: 10 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Lugano: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Lugano: 7 wins in a row
- Lugano: 6 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Young Boys: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 31:7 | 28 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 33:18 | 22 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lugano vs Young Boys?
Lugano 2-2 Young Boys (half time 1-2).
Did the Lugano vs Young Boys tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.