Super LeagueMatchday 7
Basel 1-3 Lugano: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- St. Jakob-Park, Basel
- Referee:
- Desiree Blanco
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%61%O2.562%59%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Lugano4:0BaselL
- Basel1:1LuganoD
- Basel0:1LuganoL
- Lugano3:1BaselL
- Lugano2:5BaselW
Basel's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.3under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.9league 4.8over 4.5: 53%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 6
RefereeD. Blanco+0.2 cards vs average16 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.7total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.5total 3.1
Basel : LuganoMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-18%1-0—2-27%0-16%Attack/defence1-111%1-28%2-19%1-07%2-26%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-19%1-01-0—1-07%2-22-27%2-26%0-10-16%0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 69%59% | 59% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64%61% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62%59% | 59% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%64% | 64% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 56%66% | 66% |
| 2 – Lugano win | 44%35% · Elo 40% | 35%· Elo 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%36% | 36% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38%41% | 41% |
| Both teams to score: no | 36%39% | 39% |
| 1 – Basel win | 31%41% · Elo 32% | 41%· Elo 32% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Basel attack vs Lugano defenceattack1516defence1590−74 pts to the attack
Lugano attack vs Basel defenceattack1514defence1515−1 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Basel concede 2.0 goals per game
- Lugano score 2.3 goals per game
- Basel: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Lugano: 6 wins in a row
- Lugano: 25 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Basel played 3 days ago
- Lugano: 3 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 31:7 | 28 |
| 7 | Basel | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:20 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Basel vs Lugano?
Basel 1-3 Lugano (half time 0-0).