Super LeagueMatchday 7

Young Boys 3-3 Luzern: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Stadion Wankdorf, Bern
Referee:
Fedayi San

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won60%

our numbers: 4.2 goals in total in this match, league average 3.3; over 3.5 goals in 6 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 2 of the visitors' last 6 (40% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Match Result: Young BoysLost66%

    Young Boys: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; won 4 of their last 6 league matches

For the brave
Correct Score: 3:1Lost8%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloYoung Boys171366%53%Draw18%25%Luzern159717%22%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS71%71%O2.578%75%|exp. goals 2.4 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Luzern1:2Young BoysW
  2. Young Boys2:0LuzernW
  3. Luzern1:2Young BoysW
  4. Young Boys2:1LuzernW
  5. Luzern5:0Young BoysL
Young Boys's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.3under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.9league 4.8over 4.5: 53%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.won · ended 9
RefereeF. San+0.5 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.8 : 1.4total 4.2Attack/defence2.4 : 1.5total 3.9
Young Boys : Luzern
Most likely scores
Market2-18%3-18%1-17%2-26%2-06%1-2—Attack/defence2-19%3-17%1-18%2-27%2-06%1-25%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-18%2-19%3-13-18%3-17%1-11-17%1-18%2-22-26%2-27%2-02-06%2-06%1-21-2—1-25%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals92%90%90%
1X – home team avoid defeat84%77%77%
12 – no draw83%80%80%
Over 2.5 goals78%75%75%
Both teams to score: yes71%71%71%
1 – Young Boys win66%57% · Elo 53%57%· Elo 53%
Our tip: Over 3.5 goals60%54%54%
Under 3.5 goals40%46%46%
X2 – away team avoid defeat35%43%43%
Both teams to score: no29%29%29%
Under 2.5 goals22%26%26%
X – draw18%20% · Elo 25%20%· Elo 25%
2 – Luzern win17%23% · Elo 22%23%· Elo 22%
Under 1.5 goals8%10%10%
Attack vs defence
Young Boys attack vs Luzern defenceattack1641defence1484+157 pts to the attack
Luzern attack vs Young Boys defenceattack1530defence1511+19 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Young Boys score 3.7 goals per game
  • Young Boys: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Young Boys: unbeaten in 9 matches
  • Luzern played 3 days ago
  • Young Boys: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Young Boys1064033:1822
8Luzern1033417:2212
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Young Boys vs Luzern?

Young Boys 3-3 Luzern (half time 1-0).

Did the Young Boys vs Luzern tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 3.5. The tip won.