Super LeagueMatchday 5

St. Gallen 3-4 Thun: prediction, tips and result

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3-4Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Berit Sitterstadion, St.Gallen
Referee:
Luca Piccolo

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 4.5Lost63%

referee Luca Piccolo averages 5.9 cards a match, league average 4.8

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won72%

    our numbers: 3.8 goals in total in this match, league average 3.2

For the brave
Cards: Over 6.5Lost33%

referee Luca Piccolo averages 5.9 cards a match, league average 4.8; our numbers: 5.6 cards against a league average of 4.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSt. Gallen165259%50%Draw21%26%Thun157421%24%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%66%O2.572%68%|exp. goals 2.1 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. St. Gallen1:1ThunD
  2. Thun2:2St. GallenD
  3. Thun0:2St. GallenW
  4. St. Gallen1:2ThunL
  5. Thun2:1St. GallenL
St. Gallen's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.2under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards5.6league 4.8over 4.5: 63%Expected cards: 5.6 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 31%.lost · ended 4
RefereeL. Piccolo+1.3 cards vs average21 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 1.4total 3.8Attack/defence2.1 : 1.4total 3.5
St. Gallen : Thun
Most likely scores
Market2-19%1-18%3-17%2-07%2-26%1-0—Attack/defence2-19%1-19%3-17%2-07%2-26%1-06%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-19%1-11-18%1-19%3-13-17%3-17%2-02-07%2-07%2-22-26%2-26%1-01-0—1-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals89%87%87%
1X – home team avoid defeat80%76%76%
12 – no draw80%79%79%
Over 2.5 goals72%68%68%
Both teams to score: yes68%66%66%
1 – St. Gallen win59%55% · Elo 50%55%· Elo 50%
Over 3.5 goals51%47%47%
Under 3.5 goals49%53%53%
X2 – away team avoid defeat42%45%45%
Both teams to score: no32%34%34%
Under 2.5 goals28%32%32%
X – draw21%21% · Elo 26%21%· Elo 26%
2 – Thun win21%24% · Elo 24%24%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals11%13%13%
Attack vs defence
St. Gallen attack vs Thun defenceattack1542defence1450+92 pts to the attack
Thun attack vs St. Gallen defenceattack1530defence1558−28 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Thun concede 2.8 goals per game
  • St. Gallen matches average 6.7 cards (league 4.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • St. Gallen: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Thun: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • St. Gallen: 21 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • St. Gallen: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Thun: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4St. Gallen1051417:1916
9Thun1031617:2710
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of St. Gallen vs Thun?

St. Gallen 3-4 Thun (half time 0-1).

Did the St. Gallen vs Thun tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 4.5. The tip lost.