Super LeagueMatchday 8

Zurich 2-1 Vaduz: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Letzigrund, Zurich
Referee:
Fedayi San

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won71%

over 2.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 7 (65% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Cards: Over 4.5Lost56%

    referee Fedayi San averages 5.2 cards a match, league average 4.8

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost50%

over 3.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 7 (40% of league matches); over 3.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloZurich150437%41%Draw24%28%Vaduz149039%31%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS71%68%O2.571%68%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Zurich4:1VaduzW
  2. Vaduz3:2ZurichL
  3. Zurich0:1VaduzL
  4. Vaduz1:4ZurichW
  5. Zurich3:1VaduzW
Zurich's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.3under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards5.1league 4.8over 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.lost · ended 2
RefereeF. San+0.8 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.9total 3.7Attack/defence2.0 : 1.5total 3.5
Zurich : Vaduz
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-18%1-28%2-27%3-1—2-0—1-35%Attack/defence1-19%2-19%1-27%2-27%3-16%2-06%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-19%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-27%2-22-27%2-27%3-13-1—3-16%2-02-0—2-06%1-31-35%1-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals89%86%86%
12 – no draw76%78%78%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals71%68%68%
Both teams to score: yes71%68%68%
X2 – away team avoid defeat63%52%52%
1X – home team avoid defeat61%70%70%
Over 3.5 goals50%46%46%
Under 3.5 goals50%54%54%
2 – Vaduz win39%30% · Elo 31%30%· Elo 31%
1 – Zurich win37%48% · Elo 41%48%· Elo 41%
Under 2.5 goals29%32%32%
Both teams to score: no29%32%32%
X – draw24%22% · Elo 28%22%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals11%14%14%
Attack vs defence
Zurich attack vs Vaduz defenceattack1438defence1387+51 pts to the attack
Vaduz attack vs Zurich defenceattack1453defence1424+29 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Zurich concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Zurich: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Vaduz: newly promoted
  • Zurich: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Vaduz: 8 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Zurich1042418:2214
10Vaduz1030721:219
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Zurich vs Vaduz?

Zurich 2-1 Vaduz (half time 0-1).

Did the Zurich vs Vaduz tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.