Super LigMatchday 7

Alanyaspor 0-0 Erzurumspor: prediction, tips and result

·

Alanyaspor
1-01-21-02-22-1
0-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Erzurumspor
1-00-31-01-10-4
Stadium:
Alanya Oba Stadyumu, Alanya
Referee:
Davut Dakul Celik

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Yellow Cards: Under 4.5Lost58%

3.3 yellow cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.3 in the visitors', league average 4.4

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Under 2.5Won60%

    our numbers: 2.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

  • Corners: Under 9.5Won56%

    9.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 7.7 in the visitors', league average 9.5

  • Shots on Target: Under 8.5Won62%

    under 8.5 shots on target in 4 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 6 (50% of league matches); 7.3 shots on target a match in the hosts' matches, 6.3 in the visitors', league average 8.6

  • Fouls – Erzurumspor: Under 12.5Won56%

    Erzurumspor: under 12.5 fouls in 6 of their last 6 league matches (53% of league matches)

For the brave
Yellow Cards: Under 3.5Lost39%

3.3 yellow cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.3 in the visitors', league average 4.4

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAlanyaspor159549%50%Draw29%26%Erzurumspor153922%24%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%48%O2.540%47%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Alanyaspor2:3ErzurumsporL
  2. Erzurumspor1:1AlanyasporD
  3. Alanyaspor2:1ErzurumsporW
  4. Erzurumspor1:0AlanyasporL
Alanyaspor's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.5under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.3league 4.4under 4.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 6
RefereeD. Dakul Celik+1.1 yellow cards vs average2 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)68%U2.52:1coverageleague 55% · H2H 3/4covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 0.9total 2.3Attack/defence1.6 : 0.9total 2.5
Alanyaspor : Erzurumspor
Most likely scores
Market1-014%1-113%0-011%2-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-013%1-112%0-08%2-011%2-110%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-014%1-013%1-11-113%1-112%0-00-011%0-08%2-02-010%2-011%2-12-19%2-110%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals80%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat78%80%80%
12 – no draw71%75%75%
Over 1.5 goals67%72%72%
Under 2.5 goals60%53%53%
Both teams to score: no55%52%52%
X2 – away team avoid defeat51%46%46%
1 – Alanyaspor win49%54% · Elo 50%54%· Elo 50%
Both teams to score: yes45%48%48%
Over 2.5 goals40%47%47%
Under 1.5 goals33%28%28%
X – draw29%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
2 – Erzurumspor win22%21% · Elo 24%21%· Elo 24%
Over 3.5 goals20%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Alanyaspor attack vs Erzurumspor defenceattack1467defence1444+23 pts to the attack
Erzurumspor attack vs Alanyaspor defenceattack1375defence1537−162 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 62%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 39%
We expect 7.8 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.552%61%
8.539%50%
9.527%37%
10.518%27%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Alanyasporwe expect 4.2, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Erzurumsporwe expect 3.2, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 40%
Foulsleague average
Over 24.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 25.3 in this match, 24.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
23.560%59%
24.553%52%
25.547%49%
26.541%42%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Alanyasporwe expect 12.5, league average 12.4 · chance of over 12.5: 48%
Erzurumsporwe expect 12.2, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 44%
Referee: 29.5 fouls per match on average (2 matches in our data)+4.9 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.565%67%
3.543%45%
4.525%26%
5.513%16%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Alanyasporwe expect 1.6, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 48%
Erzurumsporwe expect 1.7, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 49%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Erzurumspor: newly promoted
  • Alanyaspor: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Erzurumspor: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Alanyaspor

Erzurumspor

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Alanyaspor73318:612
14Erzurumspor72233:118
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor?

Alanyaspor 0-0 Erzurumspor (half time 0-0).

Did the Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Yellow Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.

See also