Super LigMatchday 6

Erzurumspor 1-0 Samsunspor: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum
Referee:
Abdullah Bugra Taskinsoy

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost60%

3.0 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.4 in the visitors', league average 4.6

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost14%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloErzurumspor153937%32%Draw30%28%Samsunspor161133%40%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%54%O2.543%49%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Erzurumspor1:2SamsunsporL
  2. Samsunspor2:2ErzurumsporD
  3. Samsunspor2:1ErzurumsporL
  4. Erzurumspor1:0SamsunsporW
  5. Erzurumspor1:0SamsunsporW
Erzurumspor's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.4under 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.2league 4.6under 4.5: 60%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.lost · ended 5
RefereeA. Bugra Taskinsoy−1.0 cards vs average5 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.2total 2.4Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.6
Erzurumspor : Samsunspor
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-010%0-010%0-110%1-2—2-18%Attack/defence1-113%1-09%0-08%0-19%1-28%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-010%1-09%0-00-010%0-08%0-10-110%0-19%1-21-2—1-28%2-12-18%2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals78%73%73%
12 – no draw70%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals70%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat67%62%62%
X2 – away team avoid defeat63%65%65%
Under 2.5 goals57%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes50%54%54%
Both teams to score: no50%46%46%
Over 2.5 goals43%49%49%
1 – Erzurumspor win37%35% · Elo 32%35%· Elo 32%
2 – Samsunspor win33%38% · Elo 40%38%· Elo 40%
X – draw30%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals30%26%26%
Over 3.5 goals22%27%27%
Attack vs defence
Erzurumspor attack vs Samsunspor defenceattack1377defence1485−108 pts to the attack
Samsunspor attack vs Erzurumspor defenceattack1493defence1435+58 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Erzurumspor: newly promoted
  • Erzurumspor: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Samsunspor: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
14Erzurumspor72233:118
17Samsunspor71156:154
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Erzurumspor vs Samsunspor?

Erzurumspor 1-0 Samsunspor (half time 1-0).

Did the Erzurumspor vs Samsunspor tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.