Super LigMatchday 4

Kocaelispor 1-0 Samsunspor: prediction, tips and result

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1-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu, Kocaeli
Referee:
Resat Onur Coskunses

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won58%

under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Won31%

under 1.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloKocaelispor155143%29%Draw30%28%Samsunspor161127%44%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%49%O2.542%43%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Samsunspor0:0KocaelisporD
  2. Kocaelispor0:1SamsunsporL
  3. Samsunspor1:0KocaelisporL
  4. Kocaelispor1:2SamsunsporL
  5. Samsunspor0:0KocaelisporD
Kocaelispor's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses1.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.4under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.6under 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 1
RefereeR. Onur Coskunses−0.6 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.0total 2.3Attack/defence1.3 : 1.2total 2.4
Kocaelispor : Samsunspor
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-012%0-010%0-19%2-19%1-2—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-09%0-110%2-18%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-012%1-011%0-00-010%0-09%0-10-19%0-110%2-12-19%2-18%1-21-2—1-28%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals79%78%78%
1X – home team avoid defeat73%67%67%
12 – no draw70%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals69%69%69%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals58%57%57%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%61%61%
Both teams to score: no52%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes48%49%49%
1 – Kocaelispor win43%39% · Elo 29%39%· Elo 29%
Over 2.5 goals42%43%43%
Under 1.5 goals31%31%31%
X – draw30%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
2 – Samsunspor win27%33% · Elo 44%33%· Elo 44%
Over 3.5 goals21%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Kocaelispor attack vs Samsunspor defenceattack1397defence1498−101 pts to the attack
Samsunspor attack vs Kocaelispor defenceattack1504defence1526−22 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Kocaelispor: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Samsunspor: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Kocaelispor score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Kocaelispor matches average only 7.4 corners (league 9.4) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Samsunspor: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Kocaelispor: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Samsunspor: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Kocaelispor74038:612
17Samsunspor71156:154
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?

Kocaelispor 1-0 Samsunspor (half time 1-0).

Did the Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.