Super LigMatchday 3

Samsunspor 0-2 Fenerbahce: prediction, tips and result

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0-2Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Samsun 19 Mayis, Samsun
Referee:
Yasin Kol

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 4.5Lost56%

referee Yasin Kol averages 5.7 cards a match, league average 4.6; our numbers: 5.1 cards against a league average of 4.6

For the brave
Cards: Over 5.5Lost40%

referee Yasin Kol averages 5.7 cards a match, league average 4.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSamsunspor161117%22%Draw22%25%Fenerbahce189761%53%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%61%O2.557%59%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.7not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Fenerbahce3:2SamsunsporL
  2. Samsunspor0:0FenerbahceD
  3. Fenerbahce0:0SamsunsporD
  4. Samsunspor2:2FenerbahceD
  5. Fenerbahce1:1SamsunsporD
Samsunspor's record: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.4over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards5.1league 4.6over 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.lost · ended 1
RefereeY. Kol+0.9 cards vs average23 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 2.0total 3.0Attack/defence1.4 : 1.7total 3.1
Samsunspor : Fenerbahce
Most likely scores
Market1-111%0-210%1-210%0-110%2-1—0-37%2-2—Attack/defence1-111%0-27%1-29%0-18%2-18%0-3—2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%0-20-210%0-27%1-21-210%1-29%0-10-110%0-18%2-12-1—2-18%0-30-37%0-3—2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat83%69%69%
Over 1.5 goals80%81%81%
12 – no draw78%76%76%
Under 3.5 goals65%64%64%
2 – Fenerbahce win61%45% · Elo 53%45%· Elo 53%
Over 2.5 goals57%59%59%
Both teams to score: yes54%61%61%
Both teams to score: no46%39%39%
Under 2.5 goals43%41%41%
1X – home team avoid defeat39%55%55%
Over 3.5 goals35%36%36%
X – draw22%24% · Elo 25%24%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals20%19%19%
1 – Samsunspor win17%31% · Elo 22%31%· Elo 22%
Attack vs defence
Samsunspor attack vs Fenerbahce defenceattack1518defence1563−45 pts to the attack
Fenerbahce attack vs Samsunspor defenceattack1696defence1497+199 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Fenerbahce score 2.5 goals per game
  • Samsunspor: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Fenerbahce: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Samsunspor: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Samsunspor: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Fenerbahce: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Fenerbahce741219:613
17Samsunspor71156:154
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce?

Samsunspor 0-2 Fenerbahce (half time 0-1).

Did the Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 4.5. The tip lost.