Super LigMatchday 7

Eyupspor 0-4 Goztep: prediction, tips and result

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Eyupspor
0-12-10-30-20-8
0-4Full time(half time 0-1)
Goztep
2-22-22-42-30-1
Stadium:
Esenyurt Necmi Kadioglu Stadium, Istanbul
Referee:
Atilla Karaoglan

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – Eyupspor (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Lost66%

Eyupspor: under 2.5 card points in 4 of their last 6 league matches, Goztep's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 6 of 6 (59% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – Goztep: Over 3.5Won65%

    Goztep: 5.7 shots on target a match, Eyupspor's opponents had 5.7 on average, league average 3.8; over 3.5 shots on target in 6 of their last 6 league matches, Eyupspor's opponents had over 3.5 in 4 of 6 (48% of league matches)

  • Offsides – Goztep: Over 1.5Won63%

    Goztep: 2.5 offsides a match, Eyupspor's opponents were caught offside 3.2 times on average, league average 1.8; our numbers for Goztep: 2.2 offsides against a league average of 1.8

  • Fouls – Eyupspor: Under 11.5Won60%

    our numbers for Eyupspor: 10.9 fouls against a league average of 12.4; Goztep's opponents committed under 11.5 in 6 of 6 (42% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloEyupspor149924%33%Draw25%28%Goztep163051%39%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%57%O2.553%53%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Goztep0:0EyupsporD
  2. Eyupspor0:0GoztepD
  3. Goztep1:1EyupsporD
  4. Eyupspor1:0GoztepW
Eyupspor's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 0 losses0.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.5under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.5league 4.4under 4.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 4
RefereeA. Karaoglan+0.7 yellow cards vs average25 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)68%O2.51:1coverageleague 66% · H2H 1/4covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.7total 2.8Attack/defence1.4 : 1.4total 2.8
Eyupspor : Goztep
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-210%0-19%0-29%2-1—1-0—0-07%Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-19%0-2—2-18%1-08%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-210%1-29%0-10-19%0-19%0-20-29%0-2—2-12-1—2-18%1-01-0—1-08%0-00-07%0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals78%77%77%
X2 – away team avoid defeat76%65%65%
12 – no draw75%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals69%70%70%
Both teams to score: yes55%57%57%
Over 2.5 goals53%53%53%
2 – Goztep win51%39% · Elo 39%39%· Elo 39%
1X – home team avoid defeat49%61%61%
Under 2.5 goals47%47%47%
Both teams to score: no45%43%43%
Over 3.5 goals31%30%30%
X – draw25%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
1 – Eyupspor win24%35% · Elo 33%35%· Elo 33%
Under 1.5 goals22%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Eyupspor attack vs Goztep defenceattack1415defence1488−73 pts to the attack
Goztep attack vs Eyupspor defenceattack1548defence1455+93 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 9.2 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.569%61%
8.557%50%
9.544%37%
10.533%27%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Eyupsporwe expect 5.0, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 54%
Goztepwe expect 4.6, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 65%
Foulsleague average
Over 24.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over
We expect 25.7 in this match, 24.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
23.562%58%
24.555%52%
25.549%49%
26.543%41%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Eyupsporwe expect 10.9, league average 12.4 · chance of over 12.5: 31%
Goztepwe expect 13.9, league average 12.2 · chance of over 12.5: 61%
Referee: 25.0 fouls per match on average (25 matches in our data)+1.6 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.565%66%
3.544%44%
4.525%26%
5.513%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Eyupsporwe expect 1.2, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 32%
Goztepwe expect 2.2, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 63%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Eyupspor concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Goztep concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Eyupspor matches average only 3.2 cards (league 4.6) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Goztep: no win in 7 matches
  • Eyupspor: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Goztep: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Eyupspor

Goztep

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
15Goztep713315:156
18Eyupspor71062:203
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Eyupspor vs Goztep?

Eyupspor 0-4 Goztep (half time 0-1).

Did the Eyupspor vs Goztep tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – Eyupspor (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip lost.

See also