Super LigMatchday 7

Galatasaray 3-1 Kasimpasa: prediction, tips and result

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Galatasaray
4-03-23-21-00-4
3-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Kasimpasa
0-02-12-21-11-0
Stadium:
Rams Park, Istanbul
Referee:
Halil Umut Meler

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won64%

our numbers: 3.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

Other tips

  • Match Result: GalatasarayWon77%

    Galatasaray: won 4 of their last 6 league matches

  • Shots on Target – Galatasaray: Over 4.5Won70%

    our numbers for Galatasaray: 6.1 shots on target against a league average of 4.8; Galatasaray: 8.3 shots on target a match, league average 4.8

  • Fouls – Galatasaray: Under 12.5Won63%

    our numbers for Galatasaray: 11.5 fouls against a league average of 12.4

  • Offsides – Galatasaray: Over 1.5Lost59%

    our numbers for Galatasaray: 2.0 offsides against a league average of 1.8

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won42%

over 3.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 1 of the visitors' last 6 (29% of league matches); over 3.5 goals in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGalatasaray186976%74%Draw15%16%Kasimpasa15699%10%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%53%O2.566%60%|exp. goals 2.2 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Kasimpasa1:0GalatasarayL
  2. Galatasaray3:0KasimpasaW
  3. Kasimpasa3:3GalatasarayD
  4. Galatasaray3:3KasimpasaD
  5. Kasimpasa3:4GalatasarayW
Galatasaray's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss4.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.5over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.5league 4.4under 4.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.lost · ended 6
RefereeH. Umut Meler+0.1 yellow cards vs average26 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)77%O2.52:0coverageleague 60% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.6 : 0.8total 3.4Attack/defence2.2 : 0.9total 3.1
Galatasaray : Kasimpasa
Most likely scores
Market2-011%3-010%2-19%1-08%1-1—3-18%Attack/defence2-011%3-08%2-110%1-010%1-19%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-011%2-011%3-03-010%3-08%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-08%1-010%1-11-1—1-19%3-13-18%3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat91%86%86%
Over 1.5 goals86%82%82%
12 – no draw85%80%80%
1 – Galatasaray win76%66% · Elo 74%66%· Elo 74%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals66%60%60%
Under 3.5 goals56%62%62%
Both teams to score: yes52%53%53%
Both teams to score: no48%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals44%38%38%
Under 2.5 goals34%40%40%
X2 – away team avoid defeat24%34%34%
X – draw15%20% · Elo 16%20%· Elo 16%
Under 1.5 goals14%18%18%
2 – Kasimpasa win9%14% · Elo 10%14%· Elo 10%
Attack vs defence
Galatasaray attack vs Kasimpasa defenceattack1689defence1502+187 pts to the attack
Kasimpasa attack vs Galatasaray defenceattack1450defence1608−158 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 9.0 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.566%61%
8.553%50%
9.541%37%
10.530%27%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Galatasaraywe expect 6.1, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 70%
Kasimpasawe expect 3.3, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 42%
Foulsleague average
Under 24.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 23.4 in this match, 24.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
23.547%59%
24.540%52%
25.534%49%
26.528%42%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Galatasaraywe expect 11.5, league average 12.4 · chance of over 12.5: 37%
Kasimpasawe expect 12.0, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 42%
Referee: 23.5 fouls per match on average (26 matches in our data)−0.4 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 3.7 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.571%67%
3.550%44%
4.532%26%
5.517%16%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Galatasaraywe expect 2.0, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 59%
Kasimpasawe expect 1.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 50%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Galatasaray: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Galatasaray: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Kasimpasa: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Galatasaray

Kasimpasa

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Galatasaray751116:1116
9Kasimpasa72418:810
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa?

Galatasaray 3-1 Kasimpasa (half time 1-0).

Did the Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.

See also