Super LigMatchday 7

Genclerbirligi 2-2 Amedspor: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Eryaman Stadyumu, Ankara
Referee:
Umit Ozturk

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Shots on Target – Amedspor: Over 3.5Won70%

Amedspor: 5.5 shots on target a match, Genclerbirligi's opponents had 7.8 on average, league average 3.8; over 3.5 shots on target in 5 of their last 6 league matches, Genclerbirligi's opponents had over 3.5 in 6 of 6 (48% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Fouls – Genclerbirligi: Under 11.5Won60%

    our numbers for Genclerbirligi: 10.8 fouls against a league average of 12.4; Genclerbirligi: under 11.5 fouls in 4 of their last 6 league matches, Amedspor's opponents committed under 11.5 in 4 of 6 (41% of league matches)

  • Offsides – Genclerbirligi: Under 1.5Lost61%

    our numbers for Genclerbirligi: 1.4 offsides against a league average of 1.8

For the brave
Shots on Target – Amedspor: Over 5.5Lost37%

Amedspor: 5.5 shots on target a match, Genclerbirligi's opponents had 7.8 on average, league average 3.8; over 5.5 shots on target in 3 of their last 6 league matches, Genclerbirligi's opponents had over 5.5 in 4 of 6 (18% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGenclerbirligi152428%36%Draw28%28%Amedspor159144%36%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%55%O2.550%50%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.5under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.7league 4.4over 4.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 43% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 8
RefereeU. Ozturk+0.2 yellow cards vs average12 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)68%BTTS yes0:1coverageleague 61%covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.5total 2.7Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
Genclerbirligi : Amedspor
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-0—0-19%1-29%2-1—0-28%0-08%Attack/defence1-113%1-09%0-18%1-28%2-19%0-2—0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-0—1-09%0-10-19%0-18%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-1—2-19%0-20-28%0-2—0-00-08%0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals76%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat72%60%60%
12 – no draw72%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals72%72%72%
1X – home team avoid defeat56%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes55%55%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals50%50%50%
Both teams to score: no45%45%45%
2 – Amedspor win44%33% · Elo 36%33%· Elo 36%
1 – Genclerbirligi win28%40% · Elo 36%40%· Elo 36%
X – draw28%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals28%28%28%
Under 1.5 goals24%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Genclerbirligi attack vs Amedspor defenceattack1405defence1462−57 pts to the attack
Amedspor attack vs Genclerbirligi defenceattack1448defence1426+22 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 9.3 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.569%61%
8.557%50%
9.545%37%
10.533%27%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Genclerbirligiwe expect 4.6, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
Amedsporwe expect 4.9, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 70%
Foulsleague average
Under 24.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 24.6 in this match, 24.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
23.555%59%
24.549%52%
25.542%49%
26.536%42%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Genclerbirligiwe expect 10.8, league average 12.4 · chance of over 12.5: 31%
Amedsporwe expect 13.1, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 54%
Referee: 24.9 fouls per match on average (12 matches in our data)+1.3 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.565%67%
3.543%45%
4.525%26%
5.513%16%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Genclerbirligiwe expect 1.4, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Amedsporwe expect 1.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 57%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Amedspor: newly promoted
  • Genclerbirligi: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Amedspor: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Amedspor742117:914
13Genclerbirligi72237:158
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Genclerbirligi vs Amedspor?

Genclerbirligi 2-2 Amedspor (half time 0-1).

Did the Genclerbirligi vs Amedspor tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Shots on Target – Amedspor: Over 3.5. The tip won.