Super LigMatchday 7

Rizespor 0-3 Fenerbahce: prediction, tips and result

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Rizespor
0-22-10-12-02-2
0-3Full time(half time 0-1)
Fenerbahce
8-00-01-22-04-2
Stadium:
Caykur Didi Stadium, Rize
Referee:
Ozan Ergun

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won59%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Cards – Fenerbahce (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won57%

    Fenerbahce: 1.7 card points a match, Rizespor's opponents collected 1.5 card points on average, league average 2.5; under 2.5 card points in 4 of their last 6 league matches, Rizespor's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 5 of 6 (57% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

  • Shots on Target – Fenerbahce: Over 4.5Won60%

    our numbers for Fenerbahce: 5.3 shots on target against a league average of 3.8; Fenerbahce: 7.5 shots on target a match, Rizespor's opponents had 4.3 on average, league average 3.8

  • Fouls – Rizespor: Under 12.5Won64%

    our numbers for Rizespor: 11.4 fouls against a league average of 12.4

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost37%

over 3.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloRizespor158619%16%Draw22%22%Fenerbahce189759%62%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%63%O2.562%62%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Fenerbahce2:2RizesporD
  2. Rizespor2:5FenerbahceL
  3. Fenerbahce3:2RizesporL
  4. Rizespor0:5FenerbahceL
  5. Rizespor1:3FenerbahceL
Rizespor's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses5.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.5under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.4league 4.4under 4.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.won · ended 0
RefereeO. Ergun+0.4 yellow cards vs average20 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)71%O2.51:1coverageleague 66% · H2H 5/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 2.1total 3.2Attack/defence1.3 : 1.9total 3.2
Rizespor : Fenerbahce
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-210%0-29%0-18%1-37%2-1—2-2—Attack/defence1-110%1-210%0-27%0-17%1-3—2-17%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%1-21-210%1-210%0-20-29%0-27%0-10-18%0-17%1-31-37%1-3—2-12-1—2-17%2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%83%83%
X2 – away team avoid defeat81%73%73%
12 – no draw78%77%77%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals62%62%62%
Under 3.5 goals60%60%60%
Both teams to score: yes60%63%63%
2 – Fenerbahce win59%50% · Elo 62%50%· Elo 62%
1X – home team avoid defeat41%50%50%
Over 3.5 goals40%40%40%
Both teams to score: no40%37%37%
Under 2.5 goals38%38%38%
X – draw22%23% · Elo 22%23%· Elo 22%
1 – Rizespor win19%27% · Elo 16%27%· Elo 16%
Under 1.5 goals16%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Rizespor attack vs Fenerbahce defenceattack1494defence1584−90 pts to the attack
Fenerbahce attack vs Rizespor defenceattack1704defence1465+239 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 9.6 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.573%61%
8.561%50%
9.549%37%
10.537%27%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Rizesporwe expect 4.7, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 50%
Fenerbahcewe expect 5.3, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 76%
Foulsleague average
Under 24.5 · 63%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 37%
We expect 22.8 in this match, 24.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
23.543%59%
24.537%52%
25.531%49%
26.525%42%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Rizesporwe expect 11.4, league average 12.4 · chance of over 12.5: 36%
Fenerbahcewe expect 11.2, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 35%
Referee: 23.2 fouls per match on average (20 matches in our data)−0.1 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.564%66%
3.542%44%
4.524%26%
5.512%16%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Rizesporwe expect 1.7, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
Fenerbahcewe expect 1.6, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 46%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Fenerbahce score 2.5 goals per game
  • Fenerbahce: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Rizespor: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Fenerbahce: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Rizespor

Fenerbahce

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Fenerbahce741219:613
10Rizespor73137:910
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Rizespor vs Fenerbahce?

Rizespor 0-3 Fenerbahce (half time 0-1).

Did the Rizespor vs Fenerbahce tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.

See also