MLS

Atlanta Utd 1-3 FC Cincinnati: prediction, tips and result

·

Atlanta Utd
2-22-30-01-02-2
1-3Full time(half time 0-0)
FC Cincinnati
1-32-23-30-50-4
Stadium:
Mercedes‑Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Referee:
Fotis Bazakos

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won70%

over 2.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (64% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Yellow Cards: Under 4.5Lost57%

    under 4.5 yellow cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (59% of league matches)

  • Shots on Target – Atlanta Utd: Under 4.5Won57%

    Atlanta Utd: under 4.5 shots on target in 10 of their last 10 league matches, FC Cincinnati's opponents had under 4.5 in 5 of 10 (46% of league matches); 2.9 shots on target a match, FC Cincinnati's opponents had 4.6 on average, league average 5.0

  • Fouls: Under 19.5Won58%

    our numbers: 18.8 fouls against a league average of 21.1; under 19.5 fouls in 4 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (40% of league matches)

  • Offsides – FC Cincinnati: Over 1.5Lost56%

    FC Cincinnati: 1.8 offsides a match, Atlanta Utd's opponents were caught offside 2.4 times on average, league average 1.4; over 1.5 offsides in 5 of their last 10 league matches, Atlanta Utd's opponents were caught offside over 1.5 times in 8 of 10 (42% of league matches)

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won48%

over 3.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (41% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAtlanta Utd131942%33%Draw24%28%FC Cincinnati144235%39%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS70%63%O2.570%61%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. FC Cincinnati2:0Atlanta UtdL
  2. Atlanta Utd4:2FC CincinnatiW
  3. FC Cincinnati2:2Atlanta UtdD
  4. FC Cincinnati1:0Atlanta UtdL
  5. Atlanta Utd1:2FC CincinnatiL
Atlanta Utd's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.0under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.3league 4.1under 4.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 5
RefereeF. Bazakos+0.8 yellow cards vs average16 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)67%X22:1coverageleague 65% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.7total 3.6Attack/defence1.7 : 1.5total 3.2
Atlanta Utd : FC Cincinnati
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-18%1-28%2-27%1-0—2-0—3-15%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-07%2-06%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%2-02-0—2-06%3-13-15%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals88%82%82%
12 – no draw77%76%76%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals70%61%61%
Both teams to score: yes70%63%63%
1X – home team avoid defeat66%67%67%
X2 – away team avoid defeat59%58%58%
Under 3.5 goals52%61%61%
Over 3.5 goals48%39%39%
1 – Atlanta Utd win42%42% · Elo 33%42%· Elo 33%
2 – FC Cincinnati win35%34% · Elo 39%34%· Elo 39%
Under 2.5 goals30%39%39%
Both teams to score: no30%37%37%
X – draw24%24% · Elo 28%24%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals12%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Atlanta Utd attack vs FC Cincinnati defenceattack1411defence1405+6 pts to the attack
FC Cincinnati attack vs Atlanta Utd defenceattack1578defence1492+86 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 63%close to the league averageunderover 37%
We expect 8.7 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.549%53%
9.537%42%
10.526%32%
11.518%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Atlanta Utdwe expect 4.3, league average 5.0 · chance of over 5.5: 27%
FC Cincinnatiwe expect 4.0, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 37%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 72%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 28%
We expect 18.8 in this match, 21.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.535%53%
21.528%45%
22.522%39%
23.517%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Atlanta Utdwe expect 9.7, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 38%
FC Cincinnatiwe expect 9.5, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 36%
Referee: 21.8 fouls per match on average (122 matches in our data)−0.8 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 3.7 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.571%59%
3.550%39%
4.531%20%
5.517%11%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Atlanta Utdwe expect 1.8, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 54%
FC Cincinnatiwe expect 1.9, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 56%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • FC Cincinnati concede 2.4 goals per game
  • FC Cincinnati: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Atlanta Utd: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • FC Cincinnati: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

Atlanta Utd

FC Cincinnati

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9FC Cincinnati2799958:6536
14Atlanta Utd28761533:4827
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Atlanta Utd vs FC Cincinnati?

Atlanta Utd 1-3 FC Cincinnati (half time 0-0).

Did the Atlanta Utd vs FC Cincinnati tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.

See also