MLS

Austin FC 1-4 Nashville SC: prediction, tips and result

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Austin FC
1-11-12-10-03-3
1-4Full time(half time 0-1)
Nashville SC
2-03-02-21-20-0
Stadium:
Q2 Stadium, Austin, TX
Referee:
Ismail Elfath

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – Nashville SC (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won63%

Nashville SC: under 2.5 card points in 7 of their last 10 league matches, Austin FC's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 9 of 10 (56% of league matches); 1.8 card points a match, Austin FC's opponents collected 1.6 card points on average, league average 2.4; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – Austin FC: Under 4.5Lost58%

    Austin FC: 3.7 shots on target a match, Nashville SC's opponents had 3.5 on average, league average 5.0; under 4.5 shots on target in 7 of their last 10 league matches, Nashville SC's opponents had under 4.5 in 6 of 10 (47% of league matches)

  • Fouls – Austin FC: Under 10.5Won66%

    our numbers for Austin FC: 9.3 fouls against a league average of 10.7; Austin FC: under 10.5 fouls in 7 of their last 10 league matches, Nashville SC's opponents committed under 10.5 in 7 of 10 (48% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAustin FC135425%25%Draw25%26%Nashville SC156750%49%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%50%O2.556%45%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Nashville SC0:2Austin FCW
  2. Austin FC1:1Nashville SCD
  3. Nashville SC3:0Austin FCL
  4. Nashville SC1:0Austin FCL
Austin FC's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.0under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 4.1under 4.5: 66%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 3
RefereeI. Elfath−0.3 yellow cards vs average16 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)69%O2.51:1coverageleague 71% · H2H 2/4covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.7total 2.9Attack/defence1.1 : 1.4total 2.5
Austin FC : Nashville SC
Most likely scores
Market1-112%0-19%1-210%0-0—1-0—0-28%2-17%Attack/defence1-113%0-111%1-29%0-09%1-09%0-28%2-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-19%0-111%1-21-210%1-29%0-00-0—0-09%1-01-0—1-09%0-20-28%0-28%2-12-17%2-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%71%71%
X2 – away team avoid defeat75%71%71%
12 – no draw75%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals67%76%76%
Both teams to score: yes58%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals56%45%45%
2 – Nashville SC win50%44% · Elo 49%44%· Elo 49%
1X – home team avoid defeat50%56%56%
Under 2.5 goals44%55%55%
Both teams to score: no42%50%50%
Over 3.5 goals33%24%24%
1 – Austin FC win25%29% · Elo 25%29%· Elo 25%
X – draw25%27% · Elo 26%27%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals20%29%29%
Attack vs defence
Austin FC attack vs Nashville SC defenceattack1387defence1621−234 pts to the attack
Nashville SC attack vs Austin FC defenceattack1530defence1471+59 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 9.0 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.554%53%
9.541%42%
10.530%32%
11.521%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Austin FCwe expect 4.3, league average 5.0 · chance of over 5.5: 27%
Nashville SCwe expect 4.5, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 47%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 22.1 in this match, 21.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.559%53%
21.552%45%
22.545%39%
23.539%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Austin FCwe expect 9.3, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 34%
Nashville SCwe expect 11.4, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 57%
Referee: 24.6 fouls per match on average (137 matches in our data)+1.8 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 63%close to the league averageunderover 37%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.559%59%
3.537%39%
4.520%20%
5.510%11%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Austin FCwe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Nashville SCwe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 44%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Austin FC: unbeaten in 8 matches
  • Austin FC score a lot late on: 12 of 27 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Austin FC: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Nashville SC: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

Austin FC

Nashville SC

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Austin FCWestern Conference287101136:5131
1Nashville SCEastern Conference28196359:2263
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Austin FC vs Nashville SC?

Austin FC 1-4 Nashville SC (half time 0-1).

Did the Austin FC vs Nashville SC tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – Nashville SC (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip won.

See also