Toronto FC 2-1 Nashville SC: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
BMO Field, Toronto, ON
Referee:
Filip Dujic

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won57%

under 4.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches); 3.8 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.3 in the visitors', league average 4.4

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won39%

under 3.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (39% of league matches); 3.8 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.3 in the visitors', league average 4.4

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloToronto FC134927%24%Draw26%26%Nashville SC156748%50%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%51%O2.555%45%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Nashville SC1:0Toronto FCL
  2. Toronto FC1:2Nashville SCL
  3. Toronto FC1:2Nashville SCL
  4. Nashville SC2:0Toronto FCL
  5. Toronto FC1:1Nashville SCD
Toronto FC's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.0over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.4under 4.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 1
RefereeF. Dujic+0.3 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.7total 2.9Attack/defence1.2 : 1.3total 2.5
Toronto FC : Nashville SC
Most likely scores
Market1-112%0-19%1-210%1-0—0-0—0-28%2-17%Attack/defence1-113%0-111%1-29%1-09%0-09%0-2—2-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-19%0-111%1-21-210%1-29%1-01-0—1-09%0-00-0—0-09%0-20-28%0-2—2-12-17%2-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%71%71%
12 – no draw75%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat74%68%68%
Under 3.5 goals67%76%76%
Both teams to score: yes58%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%45%
1X – home team avoid defeat53%60%60%
2 – Nashville SC win48%40% · Elo 50%40%· Elo 50%
Under 2.5 goals45%55%55%
Both teams to score: no42%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals33%24%24%
1 – Toronto FC win27%32% · Elo 24%32%· Elo 24%
X – draw26%28% · Elo 26%28%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals21%29%29%
Attack vs defence
Toronto FC attack vs Nashville SC defenceattack1420defence1609−189 pts to the attack
Nashville SC attack vs Toronto FC defenceattack1519defence1481+38 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Nashville SC: 23 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Toronto FC: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Nashville SC: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Nashville SC28196359:2263
11Toronto FC287111041:5232
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?

Toronto FC 2-1 Nashville SC (half time 0-1).

Did the Toronto FC vs Nashville SC tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.