Toronto FC 4-4 Chicago Fire: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
BMO Field, Toronto, ON
Referee:
Tori Penso

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon65%

Chicago Fire: scored in each of their last 18 league matches; goals at both ends in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (63% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 4.5Won58%

    under 4.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloToronto FC134935%33%Draw25%28%Chicago Fire147040%40%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%56%O2.563%52%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Chicago Fire2:1Toronto FCL
  2. Chicago Fire2:2Toronto FCD
  3. Toronto FC1:2Chicago FireL
  4. Chicago Fire1:1Toronto FCD
  5. Toronto FC1:4Chicago FireL
Toronto FC's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.0over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.4under 4.5: 58%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 4
RefereeT. Penso0.0 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.7total 3.3Attack/defence1.4 : 1.4total 2.8
Toronto FC : Chicago Fire
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%0-16%1-0—2-18%2-27%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-28%0-19%1-08%2-18%2-2—0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%1-21-29%1-28%0-10-16%0-19%1-01-0—1-08%2-12-18%2-18%2-22-27%2-2—0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%76%76%
12 – no draw75%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%64%64%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes65%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals63%52%52%
1X – home team avoid defeat60%63%63%
Under 3.5 goals59%70%70%
Over 3.5 goals41%30%30%
2 – Chicago Fire win40%38% · Elo 40%38%· Elo 40%
Under 2.5 goals37%48%48%
1 – Toronto FC win35%36% · Elo 33%36%· Elo 33%
Both teams to score: no35%44%44%
X – draw25%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals16%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Toronto FC attack vs Chicago Fire defenceattack1407defence1495−88 pts to the attack
Chicago Fire attack vs Toronto FC defenceattack1567defence1492+75 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Chicago Fire: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Toronto FC score a lot late on: 12 of 30 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Toronto FC: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Chicago Fire: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Chicago Fire28146851:4048
11Toronto FC287111041:5232
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire?

Toronto FC 4-4 Chicago Fire (half time 2-1).

Did the Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.