Seattle Sounders 2-2 Chicago Fire: prediction, tips and result

Saturday 29 August · 21:30

Seattle Sounders

0-1 1-2 0-2 1-2 1-1

2-2Full time(half time 1-1)

Chicago Fire

1-1 2-1 2-1 2-1 1-3

Stadium:: Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
Referee:: Ismail Elfath

Our tips

Main tip

Cards: Under 4.5Won59%

under 4.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches); 2.6 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.4 in the visitors', league average 4.4

Other tips

Both Teams To Score: YesWon64%
Chicago Fire: scored in each of their last 17 league matches

For the brave

Correct Score: 1:1Lost11%

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSeattle Sounders146534%41%Draw26%28%Chicago Fire147041%31%favourite did not win

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%56%O2.561%53%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

30/06/202430/06/24Seattle Sounders2:1Chicago FireW
17/07/202217/07/22Chicago Fire1:0Seattle SoundersL
14/07/202014/07/20Chicago Fire2:1Seattle SoundersL
01/03/202001/03/20Seattle Sounders2:1Chicago FireW
16/03/201916/03/19Chicago Fire2:4Seattle SoundersW

Seattle Sounders's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.2 goals per match

Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.0over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11

Cardsleague cards4.2league 4.4under 4.5: 59%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 1

RefereeI. Elfath0.0 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.5 : 1.7total 3.2Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.8

Seattle Sounders : Chicago Fire

Most likely scores

Market1-111%2-18%1-0—1-29%2-0—2-27%0-16%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-27%2-08%2-2—0-17%

MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-18%2-19%1-01-0—1-09%1-21-29%1-27%2-02-0—2-08%2-22-27%2-2—0-10-16%0-17%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	83%77%	77%
12 – no draw	75%75%	75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	67%54%	54%
Both teams to score: yes	64%56%	56%
Over 2.5 goals	61%53%	53%
Under 3.5 goals	61%69%	69%
1X – home team avoid defeat	60%71%	71%
2 – Chicago Fire win	41%29% · Elo 31%	29%· Elo 31%
Under 2.5 goals	39%47%	47%
Over 3.5 goals	39%31%	31%
Both teams to score: no	36%44%	44%
1 – Seattle Sounders win	34%46% · Elo 41%	46%· Elo 41%
X – draw	26%25% · Elo 28%	25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals	17%23%	23%

Attack vs defence

Seattle Sounders attack vs Chicago Fire defenceattack1487defence1495−8 pts to the attack

Chicago Fire attack vs Seattle Sounders defenceattack1561defence1565−4 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Seattle Sounders concede 2.1 goals per game
Seattle Sounders matches average only 2.6 cards (league 4.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
Chicago Fire: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
Seattle Sounders: only 4 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Seattle Sounders: no win in 9 matches
Seattle Sounders: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
Chicago Fire: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

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