Philadelphia Union 1-0 Seattle Sounders: prediction, tips and result

Sunday 26 July · 00:30

Philadelphia Union

1-2 3-4 1-1 4-6 3-1

1-0Full time(half time 1-0)

Seattle Sounders

1-3 1-5 0-1 0-2 3-2

Stadium:: Subaru Park, Chester, PA (attendance: 18,520)
Referee:: Tim Ford

The match in numbers

1X2EloPhiladelphia Union152753%41%Draw24%28%Seattle Sounders146523%32%favourite won

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%54%O2.560%51%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2not both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

10/03/202410/03/24Philadelphia Union2:3Seattle SoundersL
18/05/201918/05/19Philadelphia Union0:0Seattle SoundersD
20/09/201820/09/18Seattle Sounders0:1Philadelphia UnionW
01/10/201701/10/17Philadelphia Union2:0Seattle SoundersW
17/04/201617/04/16Seattle Sounders2:1Philadelphia UnionL

Philadelphia Union's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.2 goals per match

Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.0over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 7

Cardsleague cards4.6league 4.5under 4.5: 52%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 1

RefereeT. Ford+0.7 cards vs average8 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.9 : 1.2total 3.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.7

Philadelphia Union : Seattle Sounders

Most likely scores

Market1-111%2-110%1-08%2-08%0-1—0-0—3-16%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-010%2-08%0-18%0-07%3-1—

MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-110%2-19%1-01-08%1-010%2-02-08%2-08%0-10-1—0-18%0-00-0—0-07%3-13-16%3-1—

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	82%75%	75%
1X – home team avoid defeat	77%72%	72%
12 – no draw	76%74%	74%
Under 3.5 goals	63%72%	72%
Over 2.5 goals	60%51%	51%
Both teams to score: yes	60%54%	54%
1 – Philadelphia Union win	53%45% · Elo 41%	45%· Elo 41%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	47%55%	55%
Under 2.5 goals	40%50%	50%
Both teams to score: no	40%46%	46%
Over 3.5 goals	37%28%	28%
X – draw	24%26% · Elo 28%	26%· Elo 28%
2 – Seattle Sounders win	23%28% · Elo 32%	28%· Elo 32%
Under 1.5 goals	18%25%	25%

Attack vs defence

Philadelphia Union attack vs Seattle Sounders defenceattack1525defence1575−50 pts to the attack

Seattle Sounders attack vs Philadelphia Union defenceattack1513defence1556−43 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Philadelphia Union concede 2.0 goals per game
Seattle Sounders matches average only 3.1 cards (league 4.5) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
Seattle Sounders: 4 defeats in a row
Philadelphia Union played 3 days ago
Seattle Sounders played 3 days ago

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