Philadelphia Union 3-1 New York Red Bulls: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Subaru Park, Chester, PA (attendance: 18,533)
Referee:
Fotis Bazakos

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 4.5Lost56%

referee Fotis Bazakos averages 5.6 cards a match, league average 4.6

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 10.5Lost61%

    8.8 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.5 in the visitors', league average 10.0

For the brave
Cards: Over 5.5Lost40%

referee Fotis Bazakos averages 5.6 cards a match, league average 4.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPhiladelphia Union152755%47%Draw22%27%New York Red Bulls137722%26%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%58%O2.565%57%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. New York Red Bulls1:0Philadelphia UnionL
  2. Philadelphia Union2:0New York Red BullsW
  3. New York Red Bulls0:2Philadelphia UnionW
  4. Philadelphia Union0:0New York Red BullsD
  5. Philadelphia Union4:1New York Red BullsW
Philadelphia Union's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.0under 10.5: 61%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards5.1league 4.6over 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.lost · ended 3
RefereeF. Bazakos+1.8 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.3total 3.4Attack/defence1.8 : 1.2total 3.0
Philadelphia Union : New York Red Bulls
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%1-07%2-08%3-17%1-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-09%3-16%1-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-07%1-09%2-02-08%2-09%3-13-17%3-16%1-21-2—1-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%80%80%
1X – home team avoid defeat77%77%77%
12 – no draw77%76%76%
Over 2.5 goals65%57%57%
Both teams to score: yes64%58%58%
Under 3.5 goals57%65%65%
1 – Philadelphia Union win55%53% · Elo 47%53%· Elo 47%
X2 – away team avoid defeat44%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals43%35%35%
Both teams to score: no36%42%42%
Under 2.5 goals35%43%43%
X – draw22%24% · Elo 27%24%· Elo 27%
2 – New York Red Bulls win22%23% · Elo 26%23%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals14%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Philadelphia Union attack vs New York Red Bulls defenceattack1518defence1479+39 pts to the attack
New York Red Bulls attack vs Philadelphia Union defenceattack1499defence1555−56 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Philadelphia Union concede 2.1 goals per game
  • New York Red Bulls concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Philadelphia Union: no win in 8 matches
  • Philadelphia Union: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Philadelphia Union: 59 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • New York Red Bulls: 60 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Philadelphia Union281261056:4542
8New York Red Bulls281061238:5236
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls?

Philadelphia Union 3-1 New York Red Bulls (half time 1-1).

Did the Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 4.5. The tip lost.