Portland Timbers 2-1 Seattle Sounders: prediction, tips and result

Sunday 2 August · 03:45

Portland Timbers

0-2 1-3 5-1 2-2 2-1

2-1Full time(half time 1-1)

Seattle Sounders

0-1 1-3 1-5 0-1 0-2

Stadium:: Providence Park, Portland, OR (attendance: 24,686)
Referee:: Joseph Dickerson

Our tips

Main tip

Cards: Under 4.5Won59%

3.9 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.9 in the visitors', league average 4.5

Other tips

Corners: Over 9.5Lost56%
over 9.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (52% of league matches)

For the brave

Cards: Under 3.5Lost40%

3.9 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.9 in the visitors', league average 4.5; under 3.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (36% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPortland Timbers138744%38%Draw24%28%Seattle Sounders146532%34%favourite won

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%56%O2.565%52%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

17/07/202617/07/26Seattle Sounders1:5Portland TimbersW
05/10/202505/10/25Seattle Sounders1:0Portland TimbersL
18/05/202518/05/25Portland Timbers1:1Seattle SoundersD
20/10/202420/10/24Seattle Sounders1:1Portland TimbersD
01/09/202401/09/24Portland Timbers1:0Seattle SoundersW

Portland Timbers's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.4 goals per match

Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.0over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 9

Cardsleague cards4.2league 4.5under 4.5: 59%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 4

RefereeJ. Dickerson−0.1 cards vs average8 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.8 : 1.5total 3.3Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.8

Portland Timbers : Seattle Sounders

Most likely scores

Market1-110%2-19%1-0—0-1—1-27%2-27%0-0—2-06%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%0-18%1-28%2-2—0-07%2-0—

MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-0—1-09%0-10-1—0-18%1-21-27%1-28%2-22-27%2-2—0-00-0—0-07%2-02-06%2-0—

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	85%76%	76%
12 – no draw	76%74%	74%
1X – home team avoid defeat	68%66%	66%
Both teams to score: yes	66%56%	56%
Over 2.5 goals	65%52%	52%
Under 3.5 goals	57%70%	70%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	56%60%	60%
1 – Portland Timbers win	44%40% · Elo 38%	40%· Elo 38%
Over 3.5 goals	43%30%	30%
Under 2.5 goals	35%48%	48%
Both teams to score: no	34%44%	44%
2 – Seattle Sounders win	32%34% · Elo 34%	34%· Elo 34%
X – draw	24%26% · Elo 28%	26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals	15%24%	24%

Attack vs defence

Portland Timbers attack vs Seattle Sounders defenceattack1500defence1573−73 pts to the attack

Seattle Sounders attack vs Portland Timbers defenceattack1509defence1478+31 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Seattle Sounders matches average only 2.9 cards (league 4.5) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
Seattle Sounders: 5 defeats in a row
Seattle Sounders: only 11 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 18 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Portland Timbers: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
Seattle Sounders: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form