Chicago Fire 2-1 Portland Timbers: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Referee:
Christopher Penso

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won71%

over 2.5 goals in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (62% of league matches); our numbers: 3.7 goals in total in this match, league average 3.2

Other tips

  • Match Result: Chicago FireWon60%

    Chicago Fire: won 6 of their last 9 league matches at home

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost50%

over 3.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (41% of league matches); our numbers: 3.7 goals in total in this match, league average 3.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloChicago Fire147060%48%Draw20%26%Portland Timbers138720%25%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%62%O2.571%62%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Portland Timbers1:2Chicago FireW
  2. Portland Timbers3:2Chicago FireL
  3. Chicago Fire2:2Portland TimbersD
  4. Portland Timbers2:2Chicago FireD
  5. Chicago Fire1:1Portland TimbersD
Chicago Fire's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.0under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 4
Cardsleague cards4.7league 4.4under 4.5: 50%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 4
RefereeC. Penso+1.0 cards vs average10 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 1.3total 3.7Attack/defence1.9 : 1.3total 3.2
Chicago Fire : Portland Timbers
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-19%1-0—2-07%3-17%1-2—2-26%Attack/defence1-110%2-110%1-08%2-08%3-1—1-26%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-0—1-08%2-02-07%2-08%3-13-17%3-1—1-21-2—1-26%2-22-26%2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals89%83%83%
1X – home team avoid defeat80%75%75%
12 – no draw80%77%77%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals71%62%62%
Both teams to score: yes67%62%62%
1 – Chicago Fire win60%52% · Elo 48%52%· Elo 48%
Over 3.5 goals50%40%40%
Under 3.5 goals50%60%60%
X2 – away team avoid defeat40%48%48%
Both teams to score: no33%38%38%
Under 2.5 goals29%38%38%
X – draw20%23% · Elo 26%23%· Elo 26%
2 – Portland Timbers win20%25% · Elo 25%25%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals11%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Chicago Fire attack vs Portland Timbers defenceattack1568defence1480+88 pts to the attack
Portland Timbers attack vs Chicago Fire defenceattack1500defence1478+22 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Chicago Fire score 2.3 goals per game
  • Chicago Fire: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Portland Timbers: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Portland Timbers: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Chicago Fire: 15 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Portland Timbers: 15 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Chicago FireEastern Conference28146851:4048
10Portland TimbersWestern Conference28961351:5433
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers?

Chicago Fire 2-1 Portland Timbers (half time 2-0).

Did the Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.