Toronto FC 2-1 New England Revolution: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
BMO Field, Toronto, ON (attendance: 21,402)
Referee:
Joseph Dickerson

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won58%

under 4.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (51% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won39%

under 3.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (37% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloToronto FC134944%39%Draw26%28%New England Revolution139330%33%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%51%O2.558%46%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. New England Revolution0:0Toronto FCD
  2. New England Revolution1:1Toronto FCD
  3. Toronto FC0:2New England RevolutionL
  4. Toronto FC1:0New England RevolutionW
  5. New England Revolution0:1Toronto FCW
Toronto FC's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss1.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.0under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.4under 4.5: 58%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 3
RefereeJ. Dickerson−0.1 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.3total 3.0Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Toronto FC : New England Revolution
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-07%2-19%0-1—0-0—2-07%1-27%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%0-19%0-08%2-08%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-07%1-011%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%0-00-0—0-08%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-27%1-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%72%72%
12 – no draw74%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat70%70%70%
Under 3.5 goals64%75%75%
Both teams to score: yes61%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals58%46%46%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%57%57%
1 – Toronto FC win44%43% · Elo 39%43%· Elo 39%
Under 2.5 goals42%54%54%
Both teams to score: no39%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals36%25%25%
2 – New England Revolution win30%30% · Elo 33%30%· Elo 33%
X – draw26%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals19%28%28%
Attack vs defence
Toronto FC attack vs New England Revolution defenceattack1399defence1486−87 pts to the attack
New England Revolution attack vs Toronto FC defenceattack1450defence1496−46 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Toronto FC: no win in 12 matches
  • Toronto FC: only 5 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Toronto FC: 15 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • New England Revolution: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4New England Revolution281441045:3946
11Toronto FC287111041:5232
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?

Toronto FC 2-1 New England Revolution (half time 2-0).

Did the Toronto FC vs New England Revolution tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.