CF Montreal 2-2 New England Revolution: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Saputo Stadium, Montreal, QC (attendance: 15,082)
Referee:
Jair Antonio Marrufo

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won65%

referee Jair Antonio Marrufo averages 2.3 cards a match, league average 4.5; our numbers: 3.9 cards against a league average of 4.5

Other tips

  • Corners: Over 9.5Lost57%

    over 9.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (52% of league matches); 10.5 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.4 in the visitors', league average 9.9

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won55%

    over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won46%

referee Jair Antonio Marrufo averages 2.3 cards a match, league average 4.5; our numbers: 3.9 cards against a league average of 4.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCF Montreal130343%36%Draw26%28%New England Revolution139331%36%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%56%O2.555%52%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. New England Revolution3:0CF MontrealL
  2. New England Revolution1:3CF MontrealW
  3. CF Montreal0:3New England RevolutionL
  4. New England Revolution2:2CF MontrealD
  5. CF Montreal0:5New England RevolutionL
CF Montreal's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 9.9over 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.9league 4.5under 4.5: 65%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 1
RefereeJ. Antonio Marrufo−2.7 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.3total 2.9Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
CF Montreal : New England Revolution
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-08%2-19%1-28%0-1—2-07%Attack/defence1-112%1-09%2-19%1-28%0-18%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-08%1-09%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%0-10-1—0-18%2-02-07%2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%76%76%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat69%68%68%
Under 3.5 goals67%70%70%
Both teams to score: yes59%56%56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%58%58%
Over 2.5 goals55%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals45%48%48%
1 – CF Montreal win43%42% · Elo 36%42%· Elo 36%
Both teams to score: no41%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals33%30%30%
2 – New England Revolution win31%32% · Elo 36%32%· Elo 36%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals21%24%24%
Attack vs defence
CF Montreal attack vs New England Revolution defenceattack1438defence1491−53 pts to the attack
New England Revolution attack vs CF Montreal defenceattack1451defence1441+10 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • New England Revolution: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • CF Montreal: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • New England Revolution: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4New England Revolution281441045:3946
15CF Montreal28661635:5624
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of CF Montreal vs New England Revolution?

CF Montreal 2-2 New England Revolution (half time 0-2).

Did the CF Montreal vs New England Revolution tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.