New York City 1-1 Toronto FC: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY (attendance: 21,085)
Referee:
Ramy Touchan

The match in numbers

1X2EloNew York City144559%62%Draw23%22%Toronto FC134918%17%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%48%O2.555%47%|exp. goals 1.7 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. New York City3:1Toronto FCW
  2. Toronto FC0:1New York CityW
  3. Toronto FC2:3New York CityW
  4. New York City2:1Toronto FCW
  5. New York City3:0Toronto FCW
New York City's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 10.0over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 5
Cardsleague cards4.5league 4.5under 4.5: 53%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.lost · ended 6
RefereeR. Touchan−0.2 cards vs average4 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.0total 2.9Attack/defence1.7 : 0.9total 2.6
New York City : Toronto FC
Most likely scores
Market1-010%1-111%2-010%2-110%0-0—3-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-013%1-112%2-011%2-110%0-08%3-0—0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-010%1-013%1-11-111%1-112%2-02-010%2-011%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-0—0-08%3-03-07%3-0—0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat82%80%80%
Over 1.5 goals79%72%72%
12 – no draw77%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals67%75%75%
1 – New York City win59%55% · Elo 62%55%· Elo 62%
Over 2.5 goals55%47%47%
Both teams to score: yes54%48%48%
Both teams to score: no46%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals45%53%53%
X2 – away team avoid defeat41%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals33%25%25%
X – draw23%25% · Elo 22%25%· Elo 22%
Under 1.5 goals21%28%28%
2 – Toronto FC win18%20% · Elo 17%20%· Elo 17%
Attack vs defence
New York City attack vs Toronto FC defenceattack1499defence1497+2 pts to the attack
Toronto FC attack vs New York City defenceattack1396defence1575−179 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Toronto FC concede 2.0 goals per game
  • New York City matches average only 7.4 corners (league 10.0) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Toronto FC: no win in 11 matches
  • Toronto FC: only 5 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • New York City: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Toronto FC: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10New York City28891142:3833
11Toronto FC287111041:5232
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of New York City vs Toronto FC?

New York City 1-1 Toronto FC (half time 1-1).