Detroit City FC 1-0 Birmingham Legion FC: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Keyworth Stadium, Hamtramck, MI

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost57%

under 4.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (54% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Fouls – Detroit City FC: Over 10.5Won60%

    our numbers for Detroit City FC: 11.7 fouls against a league average of 10.8; Detroit City FC: over 10.5 fouls in 5 of their last 10 league matches, Birmingham Legion FC's opponents committed over 10.5 in 8 of 10 (48% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost39%

under 3.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (34% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloDetroit City FC156057%60%Draw22%23%Birmingham Legion FC139920%18%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%45%O2.555%42%|exp. goals 1.5 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Birmingham Legion FC1:2Detroit City FCW
  2. Birmingham Legion FC1:1Detroit City FCD
  3. Detroit City FC2:2Birmingham Legion FCD
  4. Birmingham Legion FC0:1Detroit City FCW
  5. Detroit City FC1:2Birmingham Legion FCL
Detroit City FC's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.2under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 5
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.4under 4.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 6
Refereeno referee data
Dutching(several bets at once)68%11:1coverageleague 55% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.0total 2.9Attack/defence1.5 : 0.9total 2.4
Detroit City FC : Birmingham Legion FC
Most likely scores
Market1-010%1-111%2-010%2-110%0-06%0-1—Attack/defence1-014%1-113%2-011%2-19%0-010%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-010%1-014%1-11-111%1-113%2-02-010%2-011%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-06%0-010%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%68%68%
1X – home team avoid defeat79%79%79%
12 – no draw77%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals68%79%79%
1 – Detroit City FC win57%52% · Elo 60%52%· Elo 60%
Over 2.5 goals55%42%42%
Both teams to score: yes54%45%45%
Both teams to score: no46%55%55%
Under 2.5 goals45%58%58%
X2 – away team avoid defeat42%48%48%
Over 3.5 goals32%21%21%
X – draw22%27% · Elo 23%27%· Elo 23%
Under 1.5 goals21%32%32%
2 – Birmingham Legion FC win20%21% · Elo 18%21%· Elo 18%
Attack vs defence
Detroit City FC attack vs Birmingham Legion FC defenceattack1437defence1411+26 pts to the attack
Birmingham Legion FC attack vs Detroit City FC defenceattack1495defence1645−150 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 64%close to the league averageunderover 36%
We expect 7.6 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.549%51%
8.536%35%
9.525%29%
10.516%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Detroit City FCwe expect 4.3, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 42%
Birmingham Legion FCwe expect 3.1, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 38%
Foulsleague average
Over 22.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 23.0 in this match, 22.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
21.559%62%
22.552%50%
23.545%44%
24.538%39%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Detroit City FCwe expect 11.7, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 60%
Birmingham Legion FCwe expect 11.4, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 46%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.582%71%
2.561%55%
3.539%37%
4.522%16%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Detroit City FCwe expect 1.7, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Birmingham Legion FCwe expect 1.5, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 44%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Birmingham Legion FC concede 2.3 goals per game
  • Birmingham Legion FC: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Detroit City FC: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Detroit City FC concede only 0.5 goals per game
  • Detroit City FC played 3 days ago
  • Birmingham Legion FC: 10 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Detroit City FC28148634:2050
11Birmingham Legion FC264111136:4323
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Detroit City FC vs Birmingham Legion FC?

Detroit City FC 1-0 Birmingham Legion FC (half time 1-0).

Did the Detroit City FC vs Birmingham Legion FC tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.