Sacramento Republic 1-0 Detroit City FC: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Papa Murphy's Park, Sacramento, CA

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won62%

under 2.5 goals in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (52% of league matches)

For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Won34%

our numbers: 2.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSacramento Republic157247%45%Draw29%27%Detroit City FC156025%28%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS44%37%O2.538%29%|exp. goals 1.1 : 0.8not both scored
H2Hlast 3 meetings
  1. Detroit City FC0:1Sacramento RepublicW
  2. Sacramento Republic1:0Detroit City FCW
  3. Detroit City FC0:2Sacramento RepublicW
Sacramento Republic's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses1.3 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 9.1under 9.5: 60%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.5under 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 0
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 0.9total 2.2Attack/defence1.1 : 0.8total 1.9
Sacramento Republic : Detroit City FC
Most likely scores
Market1-013%0-012%1-114%0-19%2-010%2-1—Attack/defence1-016%0-016%1-114%0-112%2-09%2-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-013%1-016%0-00-012%0-016%1-11-114%1-114%0-10-19%0-112%2-02-010%2-09%2-12-1—2-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals81%88%88%
1X – home team avoid defeat76%75%75%
12 – no draw72%68%68%
Over 1.5 goals66%56%56%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals62%71%71%
Both teams to score: no56%63%63%
X2 – away team avoid defeat54%57%57%
1 – Sacramento Republic win47%43% · Elo 45%43%· Elo 45%
Both teams to score: yes44%37%37%
Over 2.5 goals38%29%29%
Under 1.5 goals34%44%44%
X – draw29%32% · Elo 27%32%· Elo 27%
2 – Detroit City FC win25%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals19%12%12%
Attack vs defence
Sacramento Republic attack vs Detroit City FC defenceattack1500defence1636−136 pts to the attack
Detroit City FC attack vs Sacramento Republic defenceattack1443defence1638−195 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sacramento Republic matches average only 3.1 cards (league 4.5) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Sacramento Republic: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Detroit City FC: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Sacramento RepublicWestern Conference281112538:2645
2Detroit City FCEastern Conference28148634:2050
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City FC?

Sacramento Republic 1-0 Detroit City FC (half time 1-0).

Did the Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City FC tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.