Sacramento Republic 2-2 Phoenix Rising: prediction, tips and result

Sunday 23 August · 04:00

Sacramento Republic

3-1 5-0 0-1 0-0 1-0

2-2Full time(half time 2-1)

Phoenix Rising

3-1 0-1 1-1 0-0 3-2

Stadium:: Papa Murphy's Park, Sacramento, CA

Our tips

Main tip

Cards: Under 4.5Won55%

3.9 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.0 in the visitors', league average 4.5

For the brave

Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSacramento Republic157251%52%Draw26%25%Phoenix Rising146923%23%favourite did not win

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%46%O2.549%41%|exp. goals 1.4 : 0.9both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

31/05/202631/05/26Phoenix Rising2:0Sacramento RepublicL
05/04/202605/04/26Sacramento Republic2:0Phoenix RisingW
14/09/202514/09/25Sacramento Republic2:2Phoenix RisingD
19/04/202519/04/25Phoenix Rising2:2Sacramento RepublicD
15/09/202415/09/24Sacramento Republic2:0Phoenix RisingW

Sacramento Republic's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.8 goals per match

Cornersleague corners9.0league 9.1under 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 5

Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.5under 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 3

Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.6 : 1.0total 2.6Attack/defence1.4 : 0.9total 2.3

Sacramento Republic : Phoenix Rising

Most likely scores

Market1-011%1-113%2-110%0-08%2-09%0-1—Attack/defence1-013%1-113%2-19%0-010%2-010%0-18%

MarketAttack/defence1-01-011%1-013%1-11-113%1-113%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-08%0-010%2-02-09%2-010%0-10-1—0-18%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat	77%76%	76%
Over 1.5 goals	75%68%	68%
12 – no draw	74%72%	72%
Under 3.5 goals	73%79%	79%
Both teams to score: yes	52%46%	46%
1 – Sacramento Republic win	51%49% · Elo 52%	49%· Elo 52%
Under 2.5 goals	51%59%	59%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	49%51%	51%
Over 2.5 goals	49%41%	41%
Both teams to score: no	48%54%	54%
Over 3.5 goals	27%21%	21%
X – draw	26%28% · Elo 25%	28%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals	25%32%	32%
2 – Phoenix Rising win	23%24% · Elo 23%	24%· Elo 23%

Attack vs defence

Sacramento Republic attack vs Phoenix Rising defenceattack1512defence1500+12 pts to the attack

Phoenix Rising attack vs Sacramento Republic defenceattack1527defence1634−107 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Phoenix Rising played 3 days ago
Sacramento Republic: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

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