Orange County 1-1 Sacramento Republic: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Championship Soccer Stadium at the Orange County Great Park, Irvine, CA

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost59%

3.5 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.0 in the visitors', league average 4.4; under 4.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (54% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost40%

under 3.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (34% of league matches); 3.5 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.0 in the visitors', league average 4.4

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloOrange County144129%35%Draw27%28%Sacramento Republic157244%38%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%47%O2.548%40%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sacramento Republic3:2Orange CountyL
  2. Sacramento Republic0:0Orange CountyD
  3. Sacramento Republic2:1Orange CountyL
  4. Orange County2:1Sacramento RepublicW
  5. Orange County0:2Sacramento RepublicL
Orange County's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.2under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards4.2league 4.4under 4.5: 59%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 5
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.5total 2.6Attack/defence1.1 : 1.2total 2.3
Orange County : Sacramento Republic
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-110%1-0—0-09%1-29%0-28%2-1—Attack/defence1-114%0-112%1-011%0-011%1-28%0-2—2-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-114%0-10-110%0-112%1-01-0—1-011%0-00-09%0-011%1-21-29%1-28%0-20-28%0-2—2-12-1—2-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals74%67%67%
Under 3.5 goals74%80%80%
12 – no draw73%71%71%
X2 – away team avoid defeat71%66%66%
1X – home team avoid defeat56%63%63%
Both teams to score: yes53%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals52%60%60%
Over 2.5 goals48%40%40%
Both teams to score: no47%53%53%
2 – Sacramento Republic win44%37% · Elo 38%37%· Elo 38%
1 – Orange County win29%34% · Elo 35%34%· Elo 35%
X – draw27%29% · Elo 28%29%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals26%33%33%
Over 3.5 goals26%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Orange County attack vs Sacramento Republic defenceattack1502defence1632−130 pts to the attack
Sacramento Republic attack vs Orange County defenceattack1505defence1473+32 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Orange County concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Sacramento Republic matches average only 3.0 cards (league 4.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Orange County matches average 11.8 corners (league 9.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Orange County: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Sacramento Republic: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Western Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Sacramento Republic281112538:2645
7Orange County28109937:4439
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Orange County vs Sacramento Republic?

Orange County 1-1 Sacramento Republic (half time 0-0).

Did the Orange County vs Sacramento Republic tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.