Orange County 2-3 Louisville City: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Championship Soccer Stadium at the Orange County Great Park, Irvine, CA

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon57%

goals at both ends in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (50% of league matches); Louisville City: scored in each of their last 8 league matches

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloOrange County144128%33%Draw26%28%Louisville City160846%40%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%56%O2.554%52%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Orange County0:0Louisville CityD
  2. Louisville City3:0Orange CountyL
  3. Orange County1:3Louisville CityL
  4. Louisville City3:1Orange CountyL
Orange County's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.2under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.5under 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 1
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.6total 2.8Attack/defence1.3 : 1.5total 2.8
Orange County : Louisville City
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-29%0-19%0-28%2-17%1-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-19%0-27%2-18%1-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%0-10-19%0-19%0-20-28%0-27%2-12-17%2-18%1-01-0—1-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals78%76%76%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat72%68%68%
Under 3.5 goals69%70%70%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes57%56%56%
1X – home team avoid defeat54%58%58%
Over 2.5 goals54%52%52%
2 – Louisville City win46%42% · Elo 40%42%· Elo 40%
Under 2.5 goals46%48%48%
Both teams to score: no43%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals31%30%30%
1 – Orange County win28%32% · Elo 33%32%· Elo 33%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals22%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Orange County attack vs Louisville City defenceattack1506defence1556−50 pts to the attack
Louisville City attack vs Orange County defenceattack1650defence1488+162 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Orange County matches average only 3.3 cards (league 4.5) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Orange County: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Louisville City: only 12 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Orange County: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Louisville City: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Orange CountyWestern Conference28109937:4439
5Louisville CityEastern Conference27117945:4240
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Orange County vs Louisville City?

Orange County 2-3 Louisville City (half time 0-1).

Did the Orange County vs Louisville City tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.