Tampa Bay 5-4 Louisville City: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Al Lang Stadium, St. Petersburg, FL

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon59%

goals at both ends in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTampa Bay156748%34%Draw25%28%Louisville City160826%38%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%59%O2.557%55%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Louisville City0:2Tampa BayW
  2. Louisville City2:1Tampa BayL
  3. Tampa Bay1:2Louisville CityL
  4. Louisville City2:1Tampa BayL
  5. Tampa Bay3:2Louisville CityW
Tampa Bay's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.2under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.7league 4.6under 4.5: 50%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 1
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.2total 2.9Attack/defence1.5 : 1.4total 2.9
Tampa Bay : Louisville City
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-110%1-27%1-08%2-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-28%1-08%2-06%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-110%2-19%1-21-27%1-28%1-01-08%1-08%2-02-08%2-06%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%78%78%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat73%64%64%
Under 3.5 goals66%67%67%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes59%59%59%
Over 2.5 goals57%55%55%
X2 – away team avoid defeat51%62%62%
1 – Tampa Bay win48%39% · Elo 34%39%· Elo 34%
Under 2.5 goals43%45%45%
Both teams to score: no41%41%41%
Over 3.5 goals34%33%33%
2 – Louisville City win26%36% · Elo 38%36%· Elo 38%
X – draw25%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals20%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Tampa Bay attack vs Louisville City defenceattack1588defence1578+10 pts to the attack
Louisville City attack vs Tampa Bay defenceattack1642defence1519+123 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Louisville City: only 11 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Tampa Bay concede a lot late on: 6 of 15 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Louisville City played 3 days ago
  • Tampa Bay: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Tampa Bay28167549:2655
5Louisville City27117945:4240
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Tampa Bay vs Louisville City?

Tampa Bay 5-4 Louisville City (half time 0-3).

Did the Tampa Bay vs Louisville City tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.